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2 Aug 2025

“Finance is completely and ruthlessly forward-looking. The only source of value today is the future.” Mihir Desai Harvard Professor

“Finance is completely and ruthlessly forward-looking. The only source of value today is the future.” – Mihir Desai, The Wisdom Of Finance

The quote “Finance is completely and ruthlessly forward-looking. The only source of value today is the future.” by Mihir Desai from The Wisdom of Finance captures a foundational principle in modern finance: the present value of any financial asset is determined solely by expectations of future cash flows, risks, and opportunities. This perspective is central to investment decisions, company valuations, and policy making, where value is always anchored not in the past or present, but in the potential that lies ahead.

Context of the Quote

Desai’s statement reflects the essence of contemporary finance, which judges value entirely on anticipated future outcomes. Whether assessing an equity investment, corporate acquisition, or a strategic initiative, financial theory and practice rely on projecting and discounting the future. The quote is drawn from The Wisdom of Finance, a work that reimagines financial concepts through the lens of literature and philosophy, advocating an appreciation of the underlying human motivations and uncertainties that shape financial systems.

The Wisdom of Finance seeks to humanise finance, countering the discipline’s reputation for abstraction and cold rationality by linking its logic to real-world narratives and the universal challenge of making decisions under uncertainty. The quote encapsulates Desai’s argument that finance is not merely technical, but is fundamentally about coping with the unknown future, and thus all value judgements in finance rest on expectations.

Profile of Mihir Desai

Mihir Desai is among the most influential contemporary finance scholars. He holds the Mizuho Financial Group Professorship of Finance at Harvard Business School, is a Professor of Law at Harvard Law School, and has served as Senior Associate Dean for Planning and University Affairs at Harvard. His interdisciplinary expertise spans tax policy, international finance, and corporate finance.

  • Education: Desai received his Ph.D. in political economy from Harvard University, his MBA as a Baker Scholar from Harvard Business School, and his undergraduate degree in history and economics from Brown University.

  • Career: He was a Fulbright Scholar to India, has advised CEOs and government bodies, and has been a frequent witness before the US Senate Finance Committee and House Ways and Means Committee, particularly on matters of tax policy and globalisation impacts.

  • Publications and Recognition: Beyond traditional academic output in leading journals, Desai’s books—especially The Wisdom of Finance and How Finance Works—have reached broader audiences and received international accolades, with The Wisdom of Finance longlisted for the FT/McKinsey Best Business Book of the Year. Desai has also contributed to executive education and digital learning, notably creating the widely followed online course “Leading with Finance” and co-hosting the podcast “After Hours” on the TED audio network.

  • Current Influence: His research is widely cited in global business media and his expertise is regularly sought by public companies, policymakers, and academic institutions. He brings together a philosopher’s perspective with technical financial rigour, illuminating how finance navigates risk and value across time.

Leading Theorists in Forward-Looking Valuation

Desai’s observation is rooted in the intellectual foundations laid by several key theorists whose work has shaped the discipline’s approach to valuation, risk, and decision-making under uncertainty:

 
Theorist
Contribution
Biography/Context
Irving Fisher
Developed the concept of present value and intertemporal choice, laying the groundwork for all modern discounting and future-oriented valuation.
American economist (1867-1947); Professor at Yale; seminal works include The Theory of Interest.
John Burr Williams
Pioneered the Dividend Discount Model (DDM), positing that the value of an equity is the discounted sum of future dividends.
American economist (1900-1989); author of The Theory of Investment Value (1938).
Franco Modigliani and Merton Miller
Formulated the Modigliani-Miller theorem, establishing the irrelevance of capital structure under certain conditions and reinforcing that firm value depends on expected future earnings.
Nobel laureates; Modigliani (1918-2003), Miller (1923-2000); rigorous academic partnership, major impact on finance theory.
Myron Scholes and Robert Merton
Developed the Black-Scholes-Merton model, providing a framework for valuing options based on future price expectations and volatility.
Scholes (b.1941), Merton (b.1944); both Nobel laureates; revolutionised derivatives markets.
Aswath Damodaran
Contemporary authority on corporate valuation, famous for integrating diverse future-oriented valuation models while emphasising the practical limitations and subjectivity inherent in forecasting.
Professor at NYU Stern School of Business, prolific author and educator.

The common thread among these theorists is the primacy of the future in determining value, whether via discounted cash flows, option pricing, or capital structure arbitrage. Their work, like Desai’s, reinforces that finance is not just about quantifying the present, but about rigorously evaluating what lies ahead, making the discipline—by necessity—completely and ruthlessly forward-looking.

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