ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
An AI-native strategy firmGlobal Advisors: a consulting leader in defining quantified strategy, decreasing uncertainty, improving decisions, achieving measureable results.
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Quantified Strategy
Decreased uncertainty, improved decisions
Global Advisors is a leader in defining quantified strategies, decreasing uncertainty, improving decisions and achieving measureable results.
We specialise in providing highly-analytical data-driven recommendations in the face of significant uncertainty.
We utilise advanced predictive analytics to build robust strategies and enable our clients to make calculated decisions.
We support implementation of adaptive capability and capacity.
Our latest
Thoughts
Global Advisors’ Thoughts: Outperforming through the downturn AND the cost of ignoring full potential
Press drew attention last year to a slew of JSE-listed companies whose share prices had collapsed over the past few years. Some were previous investor darlings. Analysis pointed to a toxic combination of decreasing earnings growth and increased leverage. While this might be a warning to investors of a company in trouble, what fundamentals drive this combination?
In our analysis, company expansion driven by the need to compensate for poor performance in their core business is a typical driver of exactly this outcome.
This article was written in January 2020 but publication was delayed due to the outbreak of Covid-19. Five months after South Africa’s first case, we update our analysis and show that core-based companies outperformed diverse peers by 29% over the period.
Management should always seek to reach full potential in their core business. Attempts to expand should be to a clearly logical set of adjacencies to which they can apply their capabilities using a repeatable business model.
In the article “Steinhoff, Tongaat, Omnia… Here’s the dead giveaway that you should have avoided these companies, says an asset manager,” (Business Insider SA, Jun 11, 2019) Helena Wasserman lists a number of Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) listed shares that have plummeted in recent years.
In many cases these companies’ corresponding sectors have been declining. However, in most of the sectors there is at least one company that has outperformed the rest. What is it about these outperformers that distinguishes them from the rest?
The outperformers have typically shown strong financial performance – be that Growth, ROE, ROA, RONA or Asset Turnover – and varying degrees of leverage. However, performance against these metrics is by no means consistent – see our analysis.
What is consistent is that the outperformers all show clearly delineated core businesses and ongoing growth towards full potential in these businesses alongside growth into clear adjacencies that protect, enhance and leverage the core. In some cases, the core may have been or is currently being redefined, typically through gradual, step-wise extension along logical adjacencies. Redefinition is particularly important in light of the digital transformation seen in many industries. The outperformers are very seldom diversified across unrelated business segments – although isolated examples such as Bidvest clearly exist in other sectors.
Analysis of the over- and underperformers in the sectors highlighted in the article shows that those following a clear core-based strategy have typically outperformed peers through the initial months of the downturn caused by the Covid-19 outbreak.
Strategy Tools
PODCAST: Effective Transfer Pricing
Our Spotify podcast discusses how to get transfer pricing right.
We discuss effective transfer pricing within organizations, highlighting the prevalent challenges and proposing solutions. The core issue is that poorly implemented internal pricing leads to suboptimal economic decisions, resource allocation problems, and interdepartmental conflict. The hosts advocate for market-based pricing over cost recovery, emphasizing the importance of clear price signals for efficient resource allocation and accurate decision-making. They stress the need for service level agreements, fair cost allocation, and a comprehensive process to manage the political and emotional aspects of internal pricing, ultimately aiming for improved organizational performance and profitability. The podcast includes case studies illustrating successful implementations and the authors’ expertise in this field.
Read more from the original article.

Fast Facts
Fast Fact: Great returns aren’t enough
Key insights
It’s not enough to just have great returns – top-line growth is just as critical.
In fact, S&P 500 investors rewarded high-growth companies more than high-ROIC companies over the past decade.
While the distinction was less clear on the JSE, what is clear is that getting a balance of growth and returns is critical.
Strong and consistent ROIC or RONA performers provide investors with a steady flow of discounted cash flows – without growth effectively a fixed-income instrument.
Improvements in ROIC through margin improvements, efficiencies and working-capital optimisation provide point-in-time uplifts to share price.
Top-line growth presents a compounding mechanism – ROIC (and improvements) are compounded each year leading to on-going increases in share price.
However, without acceptable levels of ROIC, the benefits of compounding will be subdued and share price appreciation will be depressed – and when ROIC is below WACC value will be destroyed.
Maintaining high levels of growth is not as sustainable as maintaining high levels of ROIC – while both typically decline as industries mature, growth is usually more affected.
Getting the right balance between ROIC and growth is critical to optimising shareholder value.
Selected News
Term: Strategy
“Strategy is the art of radical selection, where you identify the “vital few” forces – the 20% of activities, products, or customers that generate 80% of your value – and anchor them in a unique and valuable position that is difficult for rivals to imitate.” – Strategy
Strategy is the art of radical selection, entailing the identification and prioritisation of the “vital few” forces—typically the 20% of activities, products, or customers that deliver 80% of value—and embedding them within a unique, valuable position that rivals struggle to replicate.
This definition draws on the Pareto principle (or 80/20 rule), which posits that a minority of inputs generates the majority of outputs, applied strategically to focus resources for competitive advantage. Radical selection demands ruthless prioritisation, rejecting marginal efforts to create imitable barriers such as proprietary processes, network effects, or brand loyalty. In practice, it involves auditing operations to isolate high-impact elements, then aligning the organisation around them—eschewing diversification for concentrated excellence. For instance, firms might discontinue underperforming product lines or customer segments to double down on core strengths, fostering sustainable differentiation amid competition.3,5
Key Elements of Radical Selection
- Identification of the “Vital Few”: Analyse data to pinpoint the 20% driving 80% of revenue, profit, or growth; this echoes exploration in radical innovation, targeting novel opportunities over incremental gains.3
- Anchoring in a Unique Position: Secure these forces in a defensible niche, leveraging creativity and risk acceptance inherent to strategic art, where choices fuse power with imagination to outmanoeuvre rivals.5
- Difficulty to Imitate: Build moats through repetition with deviation—reconfiguring conventions internally to resist replication, akin to disidentification strategies that transform from within.1
Best Related Strategy Theorist: Richard Koch
Richard Koch, a pre-eminent proponent of the 80/20 principle in strategy, provides the foundational intellectual backbone for this concept of radical selection. His seminal work, The 80/20 Principle: The Secret to Achieving More with Less (1997, updated editions since), explicitly frames strategy as exploiting the “vital few”—the disproportionate 20% of factors yielding 80% of results—to achieve outsized success.
Biography and Backstory
Born in 1950 in London, Koch graduated from Oxford University with a degree in Philosophy, Politics, and Economics, later earning an MBA from Harvard Business School. He began his career at Bain & Company (1978–1980), rising swiftly in management consulting, then co-founded L.E.K. Consulting in 1983, where he specialised in corporate strategy and turnarounds. Koch advised blue-chip firms on radical pruning—divesting non-core assets to focus on high-yield segments—drawing early insights into Pareto imbalances from client data showing most profits stemmed from few products or customers.
In the 1990s, as an independent investor and author, Koch applied these lessons to his own ventures, achieving billionaire status through stakes in firms like Filofax (which he revitalised via 80/20 focus) and Betfair (early investor). His 80/20 philosophy evolved from Vilfredo Pareto’s 1896 observation of wealth distribution (80% owned by 20%) and Joseph Juran’s quality management adaptations, but Koch radicalised it for strategy. He argued that businesses thrive by systematically ignoring the trivial many, selecting “star” activities for exponential growth—a direct precursor to the query’s definition.
Koch’s relationship to radical selection is intimate: he popularised it as a strategic art form, blending empirical analysis with bold choice. In Living the 80/20 Way (2004) and The 80/20 Manager (2007), he extends it to personal and corporate realms, warning against “spread-thin” mediocrity. Critics note its simplicity risks oversimplification, yet its prescience aligns with modern lean strategies; Koch remains active, mentoring via Koch Education.3,5
References
1. https://direct.mit.edu/artm/article/10/3/8/109489/What-is-Radical
3. https://www.timreview.ca/article/1425
4. https://selvajournal.org/article/ideology-strategy-aesthetics/
7. https://art21.org/read/radical-art-in-a-conservative-school/
8. https://parsejournal.com/article/radical-softness/

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