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Decreased uncertainty, improved decisions
Global Advisors is a leader in defining quantified strategies, decreasing uncertainty, improving decisions and achieving measureable results.
We specialise in providing highly-analytical data-driven recommendations in the face of significant uncertainty.
We utilise advanced predictive analytics to build robust strategies and enable our clients to make calculated decisions.
We support implementation of adaptive capability and capacity.
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Thoughts
Global Advisors’ Thoughts: Leading a deliberate life
By Marc Wilson
Marc is a partner at Global Advisors and based in Johannesburg, South Africa
Download this article at https://globaladvisors.biz/blog/2018/06/26/leading-a-deliberate-life/.
Picket fences. Family of four. Management position.
Mid-life crisis. Meaning. Purpose.
Someone once said that, “At 18, I had all the answers. At 35, I realised I didn’t know the question.”
Serendipity has a lot going for it. Many people might sail through life taking what comes and enjoying the moment. Others might be open to chance and have nothing go right for them.
Some people might strive to achieve, realise rare successes and be bitterly unhappy. Others might be driven and enjoy incredible success and fulfilment.
Perhaps the majority of us become beholden to the momentum of our lives.
We might study, start a career, marry, buy a dream house, have children, send them to a top school. Those steps make up components of many of our dreams. They are steps that may define each subsequent choice. As I discussed this with a friend recently, he remarked that few of these steps had been subject of deliberations in his life – increasingly these steps were the outcome of momentum. Each will shape every step he takes for the rest of his life. He would not have things any other way, but if he knew what he knows now, he might have been more deliberate about choice and consequence…..
Read more at https://globaladvisors.biz/blog/2018/06/26/leading-a-deliberate-life/
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Strategy Tools
Strategy tools: Effective transfer pricing
So much has been written about transfer pricing. Yet it remains a bone of contention in almost every organisation. Transfer pricing is not merely a rational challenge – it often raises the emotions of internal service users and providers who argue regarding scope, quality, price and value.
We have found that effective transfer pricing relies on some fairly simple best practices and critical success factors.
Many organisations recover costs as a regular ‘below-the-line’ deduction from operating division income statements. In our experience, charge out is almost always preferable. This results in internal value judgements and negotiation regarding delivery happening closer to time of use.
We have typically seen that the realisation that internal pricing plays this role and the consequences of poor implementation are not well understood.
Results of poor transfer pricing implementation
Sub-optimal economic use decisions
Where costs / prices are higher than they should be, buyers pass this on as an inflated cost to their customers, experience margin squeeze, or utilise less of the service than they might have.
Strategically this can lead to incorrect decisions regarding the provision of services to the market and loss of market share.
Where costs / prices are lower than they should be, this can lead to overuse of a product or service and poor cost recovery from external customers.
Strategically this can result in the over promotion and sales of products and services that are achieving lower margins than thought, or that might even be making losses.
Sub-optimal investment and resourcing decisions
Incorrect pricing can lead to over- or under-investment in capacity and product or service quality. Further, the resourcing decisions will be incorrect should the price signal to the supplier be incorrect.
Political and emotional argument
Where buyers are unable to obtain assurance that an internal price is correct, there is typically resentment regarding the cost of the internal product and service and the sheltered position employees of the internal service provider occupy – in the buyer’s eyes free from commercial pressures.
Buyers and suppliers typically also argue regarding the quality of the service or product relative to the price paid.
Suppliers may react to criticism claiming their product or service is strategic in nature and refute its availability in the external markets.
Poor product / service quality
Poor price signals will result in lack of comparable product and service quality benchmarks. This can result in ‘gold-plating’ or poor-quality product and service provision.
Read more at https://globaladvisors.biz/2021/01/06/strategy-tools-effective-transfer-pricing/
Fast Facts
Fast Fact: The rate of technology adoption exploded in the 1990s
The 1990s were an inflection point in the adoption of new technologies. While radio showed fast adoption in the 1920s, new technologies introduced post 2010 had reached penetrations of more than 30% of the United States population within 3 years from launch. PCs...
Selected News
Term: Mercantilism
“Mercantilism is an economic theory and policy from the 16th-18th centuries where governments heavily regulated trade to build national wealth and power by maximizing exports, minimizing imports, and accumulating precious metals like gold and silver.” – Mercantilism
Mercantilism is an early, modern economic theory and statecraft practice (c. 16th–18th centuries) in which governments heavily regulate trade and production to increase national wealth and power by maximising exports, minimising imports, and accumulating bullion (gold and silver).3,4,2
Comprehensive definition
Mercantilism is an economic doctrine and policy regime that treats wealth as finite and international trade as a zero-sum game, so that one state’s gain is understood to be another’s loss.3,6 Under this view, the purpose of economic activity is not individual welfare but the augmentation of state power, especially in competition with rival nations.3,6
Core features include:
- Bullionism and wealth accumulation
Wealth is measured primarily by a country’s stock of precious metals, especially gold and silver, often called bullion.3,1,2 If a nation lacks mines, it is expected to obtain bullion through a “favourable” balance of trade, i.e. persistent export surpluses.3,2 - Favourable balance of trade
Governments strive to ensure exports exceed imports so that foreign buyers pay the difference in bullion.3,2,4 A favourable balance of trade is engineered via: - High tariffs and quotas on imports
- Export promotion (subsidies, privileges)
- Restrictions or bans on foreign manufactured goods2,4,5
- Strong, interventionist state
Mercantilism assumes an active government role in regulating the economy to serve national objectives.3,4,5 Typical interventions include: - Granting monopolies and charters to favoured firms or trading companies (e.g. British East India Company)4
- Regulating wages, prices, and production
- Directing capital to strategic sectors (ships, armaments, textiles)2,5
- Enforcing navigation acts to reserve shipping for national fleets
- Colonialism and economic nationalism
Mercantilism is closely tied to the rise of nation-states and overseas empires.2,4,3 Colonies are designed to: - Supply raw materials cheaply to the “mother country”
- Provide captive markets for its manufactured exports
- Be forbidden from developing competing manufacturing industries
All trade between colony and metropole is typically reserved as a monopoly of the mother country.3,4 - Population, labour and social discipline
A large population is considered essential to provide soldiers, sailors, workers and domestic consumers.3 Mercantilist states often: - Promote thrift and saving as virtues
- Pass sumptuary laws limiting luxury imports, to avoid bullion outflows and keep labour disciplined3
- Favour policies that keep wages relatively low to preserve competitiveness and employment in export industries4
- Winners and losers
The system tends to privilege merchants, merchant companies and the state over consumers and small producers.4 High protection raises domestic prices and lowers variety, but increases profits and state revenues through custom duties and controlled markets.2,5
As an overarching logic, mercantilism can be summarised as “economic nationalism for the purpose of building a wealthy and powerful state”.6
Mercantilism in historical context
- Origins and dominance
Mercantilist ideas emerged as feudalism declined and nation-states formed in early modern Europe, notably in England, France, Spain, Portugal and the Dutch Republic.1,2,4 They dominated Western European economic thinking and policy from the 16th century to the late 18th century.3,6 - Practice rather than explicit theory
Proponents such as Thomas Mun (England), Jean-Baptiste Colbert (France) and Antonio Serra (Italy) did not use the word “mercantilism”.3 They wrote about trade, money and statecraft; the label “mercantile system” and later “mercantilism” was coined and popularised by Adam Smith in 1776.3,4,6 - Institutional expression
Mercantilist policy underpinned: - The Navigation Acts and the rise of British sea power
- French Colbertist industrial policy (textiles, shipbuilding, arsenals)
- Spanish and Portuguese bullion-based imperial systems
- Chartered companies such as the British East India Company, which fused commerce, governance and military force under state-backed monopolies4
- Transition to capitalism and free-trade thought
Mercantilism created conditions for early capitalism by encouraging capital accumulation, long-distance trade networks and early industrial development.3 But it also prompted a sustained intellectual backlash, most famously from Adam Smith and later classical economists, who argued that: - Wealth is not finite and can be expanded through productivity and specialisation
- Free trade and comparative advantage can benefit all countries, rather than being zero-sum2,4
Critiques and legacy
Classical and later economists criticised mercantilism for:
- Confusing money (bullion) with real wealth (productive capacity, labour, technology)2
- Undermining consumer welfare through high prices and limited choice caused by import restrictions and monopolies2,5
- Fostering rent-seeking alliances between state and merchant elites at the expense of the general public4,6
Although mercantilism is usually considered a superseded doctrine, many contemporary protectionist or “neo-mercantilist” policies—such as aggressive export promotion, managed exchange rates, and strategic trade restrictions—are often described as mercantilist in spirit.2,5
The key strategy theorist: Adam Smith and his relationship to mercantilism
The most important strategic thinker associated with mercantilism—precisely because he dismantled it and re-framed strategy—is Adam Smith (1723–1790), the Scottish moral philosopher and political economist often called the founder of modern economics.2,3,4,6
Although Smith was not a mercantilist, his work provides the definitive critique and strategic re-orientation away from mercantilism, and he is the thinker who named and systematised the concept.
Smith’s engagement with mercantilism
- In An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations, Smith repeatedly refers to the existing policy regime as the “mercantile system” and subjects it to a detailed historical and analytical critique.3,4,6
- He argues that:
- National wealth lies in the productive powers of labour and capital, not in the mere accumulation of gold and silver.2,6
- Free exchange and competition, not monopolies and trade restraints, are the most reliable mechanisms for increasing overall prosperity.
- International trade can be mutually beneficial, rejecting the zero-sum assumption central to mercantilism.2,4
- Smith maintains that mercantilism benefits a narrow coalition of merchants and manufacturers, who use state power—tariffs, monopolies, trading charters—to secure rents at the expense of the wider population.4,6
In strategic terms, Smith redefined economic statecraft: instead of seeking power through hoarding bullion and favouring particular firms, he proposed that long-run national strength is best served by efficient markets, specialisation and limited government interference.
Biographical sketch and intellectual formation
- Early life and education
Adam Smith was born in Kirkcaldy, Scotland, in 1723.3 He studied at the University of Glasgow, where he encountered the Scottish Enlightenment’s emphasis on reason, moral philosophy and political economy, and later at Balliol College, Oxford.3,6 - Academic and public roles
He became Professor of Logic and later Moral Philosophy at the University of Glasgow, lecturing on ethics, jurisprudence, and political economy.6 His first major work, The Theory of Moral Sentiments, explored sympathy, virtue and the moral foundations of social order. - European travels and observation of mercantilist systems
From 1764 to 1766, Smith travelled in France and Switzerland as tutor to the Duke of Buccleuch, meeting leading physiocrats and observing French administrative and mercantilist practices first-hand.6 These experiences sharpened his critique of existing systems and influenced his articulation of freer trade and limited government. - The Wealth of Nations and its impact
Published in 1776,The Wealth of Nations systematically: - Dissects mercantilist doctrines and practices across Britain and Europe
- Explains the division of labour, market coordination and the role of self-interest under appropriate institutional frameworks
- Sets out a strategic blueprint for economic policy based on “natural liberty”, moderate taxation, minimal trade barriers and competitive markets2,4,6
Smith died in 1790 in Edinburgh, but his analysis of mercantilism reshaped both economic theory and state strategy. Governments gradually moved—unevenly and often incompletely—from mercantilist controls toward liberal, market-oriented trade regimes, making Smith the key intellectual bridge between mercantilist economic nationalism and modern strategic thinking about trade, growth and state power.
References
1. https://legal-resources.uslegalforms.com/m/mercantilism
2. https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/economics/mercantilism/
3. https://www.britannica.com/money/mercantilism
4. https://www.ebsco.com/research-starters/diplomacy-and-international-relations/mercantilism
5. https://www.economicshelp.org/blog/17553/trade/mercantilism-theory-and-examples/
6. https://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/Mercantilism.html
7. https://dictionary.cambridge.org/us/dictionary/english/mercantilism

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