ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
An AI-native strategy firmGlobal Advisors: a consulting leader in defining quantified strategy, decreasing uncertainty, improving decisions, achieving measureable results.
A Different Kind of Partner in an AI World
AI-native strategy
consulting
Experienced hires
We are hiring experienced top-tier strategy consultants
Quantified Strategy
Decreased uncertainty, improved decisions
Global Advisors is a leader in defining quantified strategies, decreasing uncertainty, improving decisions and achieving measureable results.
We specialise in providing highly-analytical data-driven recommendations in the face of significant uncertainty.
We utilise advanced predictive analytics to build robust strategies and enable our clients to make calculated decisions.
We support implementation of adaptive capability and capacity.
Our latest
Thoughts
Global Advisors’ Thoughts: Leading a deliberate life
By Marc Wilson
Marc is a partner at Global Advisors and based in Johannesburg, South Africa
Download this article at https://globaladvisors.biz/blog/2018/06/26/leading-a-deliberate-life/.
Picket fences. Family of four. Management position.
Mid-life crisis. Meaning. Purpose.
Someone once said that, “At 18, I had all the answers. At 35, I realised I didn’t know the question.”
Serendipity has a lot going for it. Many people might sail through life taking what comes and enjoying the moment. Others might be open to chance and have nothing go right for them.
Some people might strive to achieve, realise rare successes and be bitterly unhappy. Others might be driven and enjoy incredible success and fulfilment.
Perhaps the majority of us become beholden to the momentum of our lives.
We might study, start a career, marry, buy a dream house, have children, send them to a top school. Those steps make up components of many of our dreams. They are steps that may define each subsequent choice. As I discussed this with a friend recently, he remarked that few of these steps had been subject of deliberations in his life – increasingly these steps were the outcome of momentum. Each will shape every step he takes for the rest of his life. He would not have things any other way, but if he knew what he knows now, he might have been more deliberate about choice and consequence…..
Read more at https://globaladvisors.biz/blog/2018/06/26/leading-a-deliberate-life/
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Strategy Tools
PODCAST: Strategy Tools: Growth, Profit or Returns?
Our Spotify podcast explores the relationship between Return on Net Assets (RONA) and growth, arguing that both are essential for shareholder value creation. The hosts contend that focusing solely on one metric can be detrimental, and propose a framework for evaluating business portfolios based on their RONA and growth profiles. This approach involves plotting business units on a “market-cap curve” to identify value-accretive and value-destructive segments.
The podcast also addresses the impact of economic downturns on portfolio management, suggesting strategies for both offensive and defensive approaches. The core argument is that companies should aim to achieve a balance between RONA and growth, acknowledging that both are essential for long-term shareholder value creation.
Read more from the original article – https://globaladvisors.biz/2020/08/04/strategy-tools-growth-profit-or-returns/

Fast Facts
Fast Fact: The rate of technology adoption exploded in the 1990s
The 1990s were an inflection point in the adoption of new technologies. While radio showed fast adoption in the 1920s, new technologies introduced post 2010 had reached penetrations of more than 30% of the United States population within 3 years from launch. PCs...
Selected News
Term: Gradient descent
“Gradient descent is a core optimization algorithm in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning used to find the optimal parameters for a model by minimizing a cost (or loss) function.” – Gradient descent
Gradient descent is a first-order iterative optimisation algorithm used to minimise a differentiable cost or loss function by adjusting model parameters in the direction of the steepest descent.4,1 It is fundamental in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning for training models such as linear regression, neural networks, and logistic regression by finding optimal parameters that reduce prediction errors.2,3
How Gradient Descent Works
The algorithm starts from an initial set of parameters and iteratively updates them using the formula:
?_{new} = ?_{old} - ? ?J(?)
where ? represents the parameters, ? is the learning rate (step size), and ?J(?) is the gradient of the cost function J.4,6 The negative gradient points towards the direction of fastest decrease, analogous to descending a valley by following the steepest downhill path.1,2
Key Components
- Learning Rate (?): Controls step size. Too small leads to slow convergence; too large may overshoot the minimum.1,2
- Cost Function: Measures model error, e.g., mean squared error (MSE) for regression.3
- Gradient: Partial derivatives indicating how to adjust each parameter.4
Types of Gradient Descent
| Type | Description | Advantages |
|---|---|---|
| Batch Gradient Descent | Uses entire dataset per update. | Stable convergence.5 |
| Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) | Updates per single example. | Faster for large data, escapes local minima.3 |
| Mini-Batch Gradient Descent | Uses small batches. | Balances speed and stability; most common in practice.5 |
Challenges and Solutions
- Local Minima: May trap in suboptimal points; SGD helps escape.2
- Slow Convergence: Addressed by momentum or adaptive rates like Adam.2
- Learning Rate Sensitivity: Techniques include scheduling or RMSprop.2
Key Theorist: Augustin-Louis Cauchy
Augustin-Louis Cauchy (1789-1857) is the pioneering mathematician behind the gradient descent method, formalising it in 1847 as a technique for minimising functions via iterative steps proportional to the anti-gradient.4 His work laid the foundation for modern optimisation in AI.
Biography
Born in Paris during the French Revolution, Cauchy showed prodigious talent, entering École Centrale du Panthéon in 1802 and École Polytechnique in 1805. He contributed profoundly to analysis, introducing rigorous definitions of limits, convergence, and complex functions. Despite political exiles under Napoleon and later regimes, he produced over 800 papers, influencing fields from elasticity to optics. Cauchy served as a professor at the École Polytechnique and Sorbonne, though his ultramontane Catholic views led to professional conflicts.4
Relationship to Gradient Descent
In his 1847 memoir “Méthode générale pour la résolution des systèmes d’équations simultanées,” Cauchy described an iterative process equivalent to gradient descent: updating variables by subtracting a positive multiple of partial derivatives. This predates widespread use in machine learning by over a century, where it powers backpropagation in neural networks. Unlike later variants, Cauchy’s original focused on continuous optimisation without batching, but its core principle remains unchanged.4
Legacy
Cauchy’s method enabled scalable training of deep learning models, transforming AI from theoretical to practical. Modern enhancements like Adam build directly on his foundational algorithm.2,4
References
1. https://www.geeksforgeeks.org/data-science/what-is-gradient-descent/
2. https://www.datacamp.com/tutorial/tutorial-gradient-descent
3. https://www.geeksforgeeks.org/machine-learning/gradient-descent-algorithm-and-its-variants/
4. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gradient_descent
5. https://builtin.com/data-science/gradient-descent
7. https://www.ibm.com/think/topics/gradient-descent
8. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i62czvwDlsw

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An accelerator for Global Advisors and our clients
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Consultants join our firm based on a fit with our values, culture and vision. They believe in and are excited by our differentiated approach. They realise that working on our clients’ most important projects is a privilege. While the problems we solve are strategic to clients, consultants recognise that solutions primarily require hard work – rigorous and thorough analysis, partnering with client team members to overcome political and emotional obstacles, and a large investment in knowledge development and self-growth.
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