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Global Advisors: a consulting leader in defining quantified strategy, decreasing uncertainty, improving decisions, achieving measureable results.

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Quantified Strategy

Decreased uncertainty, improved decisions

Global Advisors is a leader in defining quantified strategies, decreasing uncertainty, improving decisions and achieving measureable results.

We specialise in providing highly-analytical data-driven recommendations in the face of significant uncertainty.

We utilise advanced predictive analytics to build robust strategies and enable our clients to make calculated decisions.

We support implementation of adaptive capability and capacity.

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Thoughts

Global Advisors’ Thoughts: Leading a deliberate life

Global Advisors’ Thoughts: Leading a deliberate life

By Marc Wilson
Marc is a partner at Global Advisors and based in Johannesburg, South Africa

Download this article at https://globaladvisors.biz/blog/2018/06/26/leading-a-deliberate-life/.

Picket fences. Family of four. Management position.

Mid-life crisis. Meaning. Purpose.

Someone once said that, “At 18, I had all the answers. At 35, I realised I didn’t know the question.”

Serendipity has a lot going for it. Many people might sail through life taking what comes and enjoying the moment. Others might be open to chance and have nothing go right for them.

Some people might strive to achieve, realise rare successes and be bitterly unhappy. Others might be driven and enjoy incredible success and fulfilment.

Perhaps the majority of us become beholden to the momentum of our lives.

We might study, start a career, marry, buy a dream house, have children, send them to a top school. Those steps make up components of many of our dreams. They are steps that may define each subsequent choice. As I discussed this with a friend recently, he remarked that few of these steps had been subject of deliberations in his life – increasingly these steps were the outcome of momentum. Each will shape every step he takes for the rest of his life. He would not have things any other way, but if he knew what he knows now, he might have been more deliberate about choice and consequence…..

Read more at https://globaladvisors.biz/blog/2018/06/26/leading-a-deliberate-life/

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Strategy Tools

Strategy tools: Effective transfer pricing

Strategy tools: Effective transfer pricing

So much has been written about transfer pricing. Yet it remains a bone of contention in almost every organisation. Transfer pricing is not merely a rational challenge – it often raises the emotions of internal service users and providers who argue regarding scope, quality, price and value.

We have found that effective transfer pricing relies on some fairly simple best practices and critical success factors.

Many organisations recover costs as a regular ‘below-the-line’ deduction from operating division income statements. In our experience, charge out is almost always preferable. This results in internal value judgements and negotiation regarding delivery happening closer to time of use.

Internal prices / cost recovery plays a crucial role within an organisation: it ‘price signals’ to the buyer and the supplier of the service. Buyers make economic use decisions and suppliers make resource and capacity decisions. This fundamental function and consequence governs the optimal implementation of internal pricing / cost recovery.

We have typically seen that the realisation that internal pricing plays this role and the consequences of poor implementation are not well understood.

Results of poor transfer pricing implementation

Sub-optimal economic use decisions

Where costs / prices are higher than they should be, buyers pass this on as an inflated cost to their customers, experience margin squeeze, or utilise less of the service than they might have.
Strategically this can lead to incorrect decisions regarding the provision of services to the market and loss of market share.
Where costs / prices are lower than they should be, this can lead to overuse of a product or service and poor cost recovery from external customers.
Strategically this can result in the over promotion and sales of products and services that are achieving lower margins than thought, or that might even be making losses.

Sub-optimal investment and resourcing decisions

Incorrect pricing can lead to over- or under-investment in capacity and product or service quality. Further, the resourcing decisions will be incorrect should the price signal to the supplier be incorrect.

Political and emotional argument

Where buyers are unable to obtain assurance that an internal price is correct, there is typically resentment regarding the cost of the internal product and service and the sheltered position employees of the internal service provider occupy – in the buyer’s eyes free from commercial pressures.
Buyers and suppliers typically also argue regarding the quality of the service or product relative to the price paid.
Suppliers may react to criticism claiming their product or service is strategic in nature and refute its availability in the external markets.

Poor product / service quality

Poor price signals will result in lack of comparable product and service quality benchmarks. This can result in ‘gold-plating’ or poor-quality product and service provision.

Read more at https://globaladvisors.biz/2021/01/06/strategy-tools-effective-transfer-pricing/

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Fast Facts

Selected News

Quote: Kristalina Georgieva – Managing Director, IMF

Quote: Kristalina Georgieva – Managing Director, IMF

“What is being eliminated [by AI] are often tasks done by new entries into the labor force – young people. Conversely, people with higher skills get better pay, spend more locally, and that ironically increases demand for low-skill jobs. This is bad news for recent … graduates.” – Kristalina Georgieva – Managing Director, IMF

Kristalina Georgieva, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), delivered this stark observation during a World Economic Forum Town Hall in Davos on 23 January 2026, amid discussions on ‘Dilemmas around Growth’. Speaking as AI’s rapid adoption accelerates, she highlighted a dual dynamic: the elimination of routine entry-level tasks traditionally filled by young graduates, coupled with productivity gains for higher-skilled workers that paradoxically boost demand for low-skill service roles.1,2,5

Context of the Quote

Georgieva’s remarks form part of the IMF’s latest research, which estimates that AI will impact 40% of global jobs and 60% in advanced economies through enhancement, elimination, or transformation.1,3 She described AI as a ‘tsunami hitting the labour market’, emphasising its immediate effects: one in ten jobs in advanced economies already demands new skills, often IT-related, creating wage pressures on the middle class while entry-level positions vanish.1,2,5 This ‘accordion of opportunities’ sees high-skill workers earning more, spending locally, and sustaining low-skill jobs like hospitality, but leaves recent graduates struggling to enter the workforce.5

Backstory on Kristalina Georgieva

Born in 1953 in Sofia, Bulgaria, Kristalina Georgieva rose from communist-era academia to global economic leadership. She earned a PhD in economic modelling and worked as an economist before Bulgaria’s democratic transition. Joining the World Bank in 1993, she climbed to roles including Chief Economist for Europe and Central Asia, then Commissioner for International Cooperation, Humanitarian Aid, and Crisis Response at the European Commission (2010-2014). Appointed IMF Managing Director in 2019, she navigated the COVID-19 crisis, steering over USD 1 trillion in lending and advocating fiscal resilience. Georgieva’s tenure has focused on inequality, climate finance, and digital transformation, making her a authoritative voice on AI’s socioeconomic implications.3,5

Leading Theorists on AI and Labour Markets

The theoretical foundations of Georgieva’s analysis trace to pioneering economists dissecting technology’s job impacts.

  • David Autor: MIT economist whose ‘task-based framework’ (with Frank Levy) posits jobs as bundles of tasks, some automatable. Autor’s research shows AI targets routine cognitive tasks, polarising labour markets by hollowing out middle-skill roles while boosting high- and low-skill demand-a ‘polarisation’ mirroring Georgieva’s entry-level concerns.3
  • Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee: MIT scholars and authors of The Second Machine Age, they argue AI enables ‘recombinant innovation’, automating cognitive work unlike prior mechanisation. Their work warns of ‘winner-takes-all’ dynamics exacerbating inequality without policy interventions like reskilling, aligning with IMF calls for adaptability training.3
  • Daron Acemoglu: MIT Nobel laureate (2024) who, with Pascual Restrepo, models automation’s ‘displacement vs productivity effects’. Their framework predicts AI displaces routine tasks but creates complementary roles; however, without incentives for human-AI collaboration, net job losses loom for low-skill youth.5

These theorists underpin IMF models, stressing that AI’s net employment effect hinges on policy: Northern Europe’s success in ‘learning how to learn’ exemplifies adaptive education over rigid skills training.5

Broader Implications

Georgieva urges proactive measures-reskilling youth, bolstering social safety nets, and regulating AI for inclusivity-to avert deepened inequality. Emerging markets face steeper skills gaps, risking divergence from advanced economies.1,3,5 Her personal embrace of tools like Microsoft Copilot underscores individual agency, yet systemic reform remains essential for equitable growth.

References

1. https://www.businesstoday.in/wef-2026/story/wef-summit-davos-2026-ai-jobs-workers-middle-class-labour-market-imf-kristalina-georgieva-512774-2026-01-24

2. https://fortune.com/2026/01/23/imf-chief-warns-ai-tsunami-entry-level-jobs-gen-z-middle-class/

3. https://globaladvisors.biz/2026/01/23/quote-kristalina-georgieva-managing-director-imf/

4. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ANV7yuaTuA

5. https://www.weforum.org/podcasts/meet-the-leader/episodes/ai-skills-global-economy-imf-kristalina-georgieva/

"What is being eliminated [by AI] are often tasks done by new entries into the labor force - young people. Conversely, people with higher skills get better pay, spend more locally, and that ironically increases demand for low-skill jobs. This is bad news for recent ... graduates." - Quote: Kristalina Georgieva - Managing Director, IMF

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