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Decreased uncertainty, improved decisions
Global Advisors is a leader in defining quantified strategies, decreasing uncertainty, improving decisions and achieving measureable results.
We specialise in providing highly-analytical data-driven recommendations in the face of significant uncertainty.
We utilise advanced predictive analytics to build robust strategies and enable our clients to make calculated decisions.
We support implementation of adaptive capability and capacity.
Our latest
Thoughts
Global Advisors’ Thoughts: Is insecurity behind that dysfunction?
By Marc Wilson
Marc is a partner at Global Advisors and based in Johannesburg, South Africa
Download this article at http://www.globaladvisors.biz/inc-feed/20170907/thoughts-is-insecurity-behind-that-dysfunction
We tend to characterise insecurity as what we see in overtly fragile, shy and awkward people. We think that their insecurity presents as lack of confidence. And often we associate it with under-achievement.
Sometimes we might be aware that insecurities can lie behind the -ias, -isms and the phobias. Body dysmorphia? Insecurity about attractiveness. Racism? Often the need to find security by claiming superiority, belonging to group with power, a group you understand and whose acceptance you want. Homophobia? Often insecurity about one’s own sexuality or masculinity / feminity.
So it is often counter-intuitive when we discover that often behind incredible success lies – insecurity! In fact, an article I once read described the successful elite of strategy consulting firms as typically “insecure over-achievers.”
Insecurity must be one of the most misunderstood drivers of dysfunction. Instead we see its related symptoms and react to those. “That woman is so overbearing. That guy is so aggressive! That girl is so self-absorbed. That guy is so competitive.” Even, “That guy is so arrogant.”
How is it that someone we might perceive as competitive, arrogant or overconfident might be insecure? Sometimes people overcompensate to hide a weakness or insecurity. Sometimes in an effort to avoid feeling defensive of a perceived shortcoming, they might go on the offensive – telling people they are the opposite or even faking security.
Do we even know what insecurity is? The very need to…
Read the rest of “Power, Control and Space” at http://www.globaladvisors.biz/inc-feed/20170907/thoughts-is-insecurity-behind-that-dysfunction
Strategy Tools
Your due diligence is most likely wrong
As many as 70 – 90% of deals fail to create value for acquirers. The majority of these deals were the subject of commercial or strategic due diligences (DDs). Many DDs are rubber stamps – designed to motivate an investment to shareholders. Yet the requirements for a value-adding DD go beyond this.
Strategic due diligence must test investees against uncertainty via a variety of methods that include scenarios, probabilised forecasts and stress tests to ensure that investees are value accretive.
Firms that invest during downturns outperform those who don’t. DDs undertaken during downturns have a particularly difficult task – how to assess the future prospects of an investee when the future is so uncertain.
There is clearly an integrated approach to successful due diligence – despite the challenges posed by uncertainty.
Read more…
Fast Facts
The use of full absorption or average costing in asset-intensive industries with under-utilisation can lead to self-defeating pricing strategies
The use of full absorption or average costing in asset-intensive industries with under-utilisation can lead to self-defeating pricing strategies
- The use of full absorption or average costing in a manufacturing environment with under-utilisation can lead to self-defeating pricing strategies
- The increase in price to cover costs results in volume decreases – lowering factory utilisation and increasing unit production costs. This is the start of the utilisation-pricing “death spiral”
- Costing according to factory utilisation – partial absorption costing – offers the opportunity to be more strategic about costing and utilisation
- “Unabsorbed” costs can be targeted through OEE and volume improvements. At the same time, the “disadvantage” of having a large factory is normalised and pricing can compete with more fully-utilised factories
- A recent manufacturing client saw 60% of unit costs arise from factory under-utilisation – sub-optimal OEE levels (non-conformance), low volumes and work-centre bottlenecks contributed to the utilisation gap
- These principles can apply to any asset-intensive business – for example banking
Selected News
Quote: Victor Hugo
“No army can withstand the strength of an idea whose time has come.” – Victor Hugo – French author
These words, attributed to Victor Hugo, encapsulate the irresistible force of timely ideas against even the mightiest opposition.3 Widely quoted across platforms, the phrase symbolises the inevitability of progress driven by conviction, appearing in collections of inspirational wisdom and discussions on cultural and political change.1,2,4
Victor Hugo: Life, Exile, and Legacy
Victor Hugo (1802-1885) was a towering figure of French Romanticism, renowned as a poet, novelist, playwright, and political activist.3 Born in Besançon, he attended the prestigious Lycée Louis-le-Grand in Paris, where his literary talent emerged early. In 1819, he won a major poetry prize from the Académie des Jeux Floraux, and by 1822, he published his first collection, Odes et poésies diverses, earning acclaim.3
Hugo’s career spanned royalist beginnings under the Bourbon Restoration to fervent republicanism. His masterpieces, including Les Misérables (1862) and The Hunchback of Notre-Dame (1831), blended vivid storytelling with critiques of social injustice, poverty, and authoritarianism.3 In 1851, when Napoleon III seized power in a coup, Hugo vehemently opposed it, leading to his exile on the Channel Island of Guernsey for nearly two decades. There, he penned defiant works like Les Châtiments, a poetic assault on tyranny.3
Returning to France in 1870 after the Second Empire’s fall amid the Franco-Prussian War, Hugo was hailed a national hero. He shunned high office but championed human rights until his death in 1885, when millions mourned him.3 His influence extended globally, inspiring writers like Émile Zola, Gustave Flaubert, and Fyodor Dostoyevsky, and revolutionaries such as India’s Bhagat Singh.3 Les Misérables endures as one of the most adapted novels, its themes of redemption resonating worldwide.
Context of the Quote
Though the exact origin is debated, the quote aligns seamlessly with Hugo’s life and writings, reflecting his belief in ideas’ triumph over brute force.3 Penned amid eras of upheaval-from the Napoleonic aftermath to the 1848 revolutions and Second Empire-it underscores his experiences of resistance and exile. Hugo viewed progress as inexorable, as seen in parallel sentiments like “even the darkest night will end and the sun will rise.”3 Today, it echoes in civil rights struggles, democratic movements in places like Iran, and debates on inequality, proving ideas’ timeless potency.3
Leading Theorists on the Power of Ideas
Hugo’s maxim draws from broader intellectual traditions exploring ideas’ transformative might:
- René Descartes (1596-1650): French philosopher whose Discourse on the Method (1637) emphasised clear ideas as foundations of knowledge, influencing Enlightenment thought on reason’s supremacy over dogma.
- Voltaire (1694-1778): Fellow French Enlightenment figure and Hugo’s precursor, who wielded satire in works like Candide to dismantle tyranny, arguing ideas of tolerance could topple oppressive regimes.
- Jean-Jacques Rousseau (1712-1778): His The Social Contract (1762) posited the ‘general will’-a collective idea-as sovereign, inspiring revolutions and Hugo’s republican ideals.
- Georg Wilhelm Friedrich Hegel (1770-1831): German idealist whose dialectic of thesis-antithesis-synthesis framed history as ideas’ inevitable march, akin to Hugo’s ‘idea whose time has come.’
- Karl Marx (1818-1883): Building on Hegel, Marx viewed material conditions birthing revolutionary ideas in The Communist Manifesto (1848), echoing Hugo’s era and conviction that no force halts ripe concepts.
These thinkers, from Romanticism’s roots to revolutionary theory, reinforced Hugo’s vision: ideas, ripened by history, prevail over armies.3
References
1. https://www.azquotes.com/quote/344055
2. https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/2302-no-army-can-withstand-the-strength-of-an-idea-whose
4. https://allauthor.com/quotes/125728/
5. https://quotescover.com/the-author/victor-hugo/
6. https://www.5thavenue.org/behind-the-curtain/2023/may/victor-hugo-quotes-and-notes/

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