Private Credit

Private credit refers to privately negotiated loans between borrowers and non-bank lenders, where the debt is not issued or traded on public markets.⁶ It has emerged as a significant alternative financing mechanism that allows businesses to access capital with customized terms while providing investors with diversified returns.

Definition and Core Characteristics

Private credit encompasses a broad universe of lending arrangements structured between private funds and businesses through direct lending or structured finance arrangements.⁵ Unlike public debt markets, private credit operates through customized agreements negotiated directly between lenders and borrowers, rather than standardized securities traded on exchanges.²

The market has grown substantially, with the addressable market for private credit upwards of $40 trillion, most of it investment grade.² This growth reflects fundamental shifts in how capital flows through modern financial systems, particularly following increased regulatory requirements on traditional banks.

Key Benefits for Borrowers

Private credit offers distinct advantages over traditional bank lending:

• Speed and flexibility: Corporate borrowers can access large sums in days rather than weeks or months required for public debt offerings.¹ This speed “isn’t something that the public capital markets can achieve in any way, shape or form.”¹

• Customizable terms: Lenders and borrowers can structure more tailored deals than is often possible with bank lending, allowing borrowers to acquire specialized financing solutions like aircraft lease financing or distressed debt arrangements.²

• Capital preservation: Private credit enables borrowers to access capital without diluting ownership.²

• Simplified creditor relationships: Private credit often replaces large groups of disparate creditors with a single private credit fund, removing the expense and delay of intercreditor battles over financially distressed borrowers.¹

Types of Private Credit

Private credit encompasses several distinct categories:²

• Direct lending and corporate financing: Loans provided by non-bank lenders to individual companies, including asset-based finance
• Mezzanine debt: Debt positioned between senior loans and equity, often including equity components such as warrants
• Specialized financing: Asset-based finance, real estate financing, and infrastructure lending

Investor Appeal and Returns

Institutional investors—including pensions, foundations, endowments, insurance companies, and asset managers—have historically invested in private credit seeking higher yields and lower correlation to stocks and bonds without necessarily taking on additional credit risk.² Private credit investments often carry higher yields than public ones due to the customization the loans entail.²

Historical returns have been compelling: as of 2018, returns averaged 8.1% IRR across all private credit strategies, with some strategies yielding as high as 14% IRR, and returns exceeded those of the S&P 500 index every year since 2000.⁶

Returns are typically achieved by charging a floating rate spread above a reference rate, allowing lenders and investors to benefit from increasing interest rates.³ Unlike private equity, private credit agreements have fixed terms with pre-defined exit strategies.³

Market Growth Drivers

The rapid expansion of private credit has been driven by multiple factors:

• Regulatory changes: Increased regulations and capital requirements following the 2008 financial crisis, including Dodd-Frank and Basel III, made it harder for banks to extend loans, creating space for private credit providers.²

• Investor demand: Strong returns and portfolio diversification benefits have attracted significant capital commitments from institutional investors.⁶

• Company demand: Larger companies increasingly turn to private credit for greater flexibility in loan structures to meet long-term capital needs, particularly middle-market and non-investment grade firms that traditional banks have retreated from serving.³

Over the last decade, assets in private markets have nearly tripled.²

Risk and Stability Considerations

Private credit providers benefit from structural stability not available to traditional banks. Credit funds receive capital from sophisticated investors who commit their capital for multi-year holding periods, preventing runs on funds and providing long-term stability.⁵ These long capital commitment periods are reflected in fund partnership agreements.

However, the increasing interconnectedness of private credit with banks, insurance companies, and traditional asset managers is reshaping credit market landscapes and raising financial stability considerations among policymakers and researchers.⁴

Related Strategy Theorist: Mohamed El-Erian

Mohamed El-Erian stands as a leading intellectual force shaping modern understanding of alternative credit markets and non-traditional financing mechanisms. His work directly informs how institutional investors and policymakers conceptualize private credit’s role in contemporary capital markets.

Biography and Background

El-Erian is the Chief Economic Advisor at Allianz, one of the world’s largest asset managers, and has served as President of the Queen’s College at Cambridge University. His career spans senior positions at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Harvard Management Company (endowment manager), and the Pacific Investment Management Company (PIMCO), where he served as Chief Executive Officer and co-chief investment officer. This unique trajectory—spanning multilateral institutions, endowment management, and private markets—positions him uniquely to understand the interplay between traditional finance and alternative credit arrangements.

Connection to Private Credit

El-Erian’s intellectual contributions to private credit theory center on several key insights:

1. The structural transformation of capital markets: He has extensively analyzed how post-2008 regulatory changes fundamentally altered bank behavior, creating the conditions under which private credit could flourish. His work explains why traditional lenders retreated from certain market segments, opening space for non-bank alternatives.

2. The “New Normal” framework: El-Erian popularized the concept of a “New Normal” characterized by lower growth, higher unemployment, and compressed returns in traditional assets. This framework directly explains investor migration toward private credit as a solution to yield scarcity in conventional markets.

3. Institutional investor behavior: His analysis of how sophisticated investors—pensions, endowments, insurance companies—structure portfolios to achieve diversification and risk-adjusted returns provides the theoretical foundation for understanding private credit’s appeal to institutional capital sources.

4. Financial stability interconnectedness: El-Erian has been a vocal analyst of systemic risk in modern finance, particularly regarding how growth in non-bank financial intermediation creates new transmission channels for financial stress. His work anticipates current regulatory concerns about private credit’s expanding connections with traditional banking systems.

El-Erian’s influence extends through his extensive publications, media commentary, and advisory roles, making him instrumental in helping policymakers and investors understand not just what private credit is, but why its emergence represents a fundamental shift in how capital allocation functions in modern economies.