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An AI-native strategy firmGlobal Advisors: a consulting leader in defining quantified strategy, decreasing uncertainty, improving decisions, achieving measureable results.
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Quantified Strategy
Decreased uncertainty, improved decisions
Global Advisors is a leader in defining quantified strategies, decreasing uncertainty, improving decisions and achieving measureable results.
We specialise in providing highly-analytical data-driven recommendations in the face of significant uncertainty.
We utilise advanced predictive analytics to build robust strategies and enable our clients to make calculated decisions.
We support implementation of adaptive capability and capacity.
Our latest
Thoughts
Podcast – The Real AI Signal from Davos 2026
While the headlines from Davos were dominated by geopolitical conflict and debates on AGI timelines and asset bubbles, a different signal emerged from the noise. It wasn’t about if AI works, but how it is being ruthlessly integrated into the real economy.
In our latest podcast, we break down the “Diffusion Strategy” defining 2026.
3 Key Takeaways:
- China and the “Global South” are trying to leapfrog: While the West debates regulation, emerging economies are treating AI as essential infrastructure.
- China has set a goal for 70% AI diffusion by 2027.
- The UAE has mandated AI literacy in public schools from K-12.
- Rwanda is using AI to quadruple its healthcare workforce.
- The Rise of the “Agentic Self”: We aren’t just using chatbots anymore; we are employing agents. Entrepreneur Steven Bartlett revealed he has established a “Head of Experimentation and Failure” to use AI to disrupt his own business before competitors do. Musician will.i.am argued that in an age of predictive machines, humans must cultivate their “agentic self” to handle the predictable, while remaining unpredictable themselves.
- Rewiring the Core: Uber’s CEO Dara Khosrowshahi noted the difference between an “AI veneer” and a fundamental rewire. It’s no longer about summarising meetings; it’s about autonomous agents resolving customer issues without scripts.
The Global Advisors Perspective: Don’t wait for AGI. The current generation of models is sufficient to drive massive value today. The winners will be those who control their “sovereign capabilities” – embedding their tacit knowledge into models they own.
Read our original perspective here – https://with.ga/w1bd5
Listen to the full breakdown here – https://with.ga/2vg0z

Strategy Tools
Strategy Tools: The 7S Framework – A Comprehensive Guide
By John Khova Global Advisors digital consultant Introduction The McKinsey 7S Framework is one of the most enduring and widely recognised management models in strategic consulting and organisational design. It posits that organisational effectiveness depends not on...
Fast Facts
Fast Fact: Great returns aren’t enough
Key insights
It’s not enough to just have great returns – top-line growth is just as critical.
In fact, S&P 500 investors rewarded high-growth companies more than high-ROIC companies over the past decade.
While the distinction was less clear on the JSE, what is clear is that getting a balance of growth and returns is critical.
Strong and consistent ROIC or RONA performers provide investors with a steady flow of discounted cash flows – without growth effectively a fixed-income instrument.
Improvements in ROIC through margin improvements, efficiencies and working-capital optimisation provide point-in-time uplifts to share price.
Top-line growth presents a compounding mechanism – ROIC (and improvements) are compounded each year leading to on-going increases in share price.
However, without acceptable levels of ROIC, the benefits of compounding will be subdued and share price appreciation will be depressed – and when ROIC is below WACC value will be destroyed.
Maintaining high levels of growth is not as sustainable as maintaining high levels of ROIC – while both typically decline as industries mature, growth is usually more affected.
Getting the right balance between ROIC and growth is critical to optimising shareholder value.
Selected News
Term: Loss function
“A loss function, also known as a cost function, is a mathematical function that quantifies the difference between a model’s predicted output and the actual ‘ground truth’ value for a given input.” – Loss function
A loss function is a mathematical function that quantifies the discrepancy between a model’s predicted output and the actual ground truth value for a given input. Also referred to as an error function or cost function, it serves as the objective function that machine learning and artificial intelligence algorithms seek to optimize during training efforts.
Core Purpose and Function
The loss function operates as a feedback mechanism within machine learning systems. When a model makes a prediction, the loss function calculates a numerical value representing the prediction error-the gap between what the model predicted and what actually occurred. This error quantification is fundamental to the learning process. During training, algorithms such as backpropagation use the gradient of the loss function with respect to the model’s parameters to iteratively adjust weights and biases, progressively reducing the loss and improving predictive accuracy.
The relationship between loss function and cost function warrants clarification: whilst these terms are often used interchangeably, a loss function technically applies to a single training example, whereas a cost function typically represents the average loss across an entire dataset or batch. Both, however, serve the same essential purpose of guiding model optimization.
Key Roles in Machine Learning
Loss functions fulfil several critical functions within machine learning systems:
- Performance measurement: Loss functions provide a quantitative metric to evaluate how well a model’s predictions align with actual results, enabling objective assessment of model effectiveness.
- Optimization guidance: By calculating prediction error, loss functions direct the learning algorithm to adjust parameters iteratively, creating a clear path toward improved predictions.
- Bias-variance balance: Effective loss functions help balance model bias (oversimplification) and variance (overfitting), essential for generalisation to new, unseen data.
- Training signal: The gradient of the loss function provides the signal by which learning algorithms update model weights during backpropagation.
Common Loss Function Types
Different machine learning tasks require different loss functions. For regression problems involving continuous numerical predictions, Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) are widely employed. The MAE formula is:
\text{MAE} = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} \left| y_i - \hat{y}_i \right|
For classification tasks dealing with categorical data, Binary Cross-Entropy (also called Log Loss) is commonly used for binary classification problems. The formula is:
L(y, f(x)) = -[y \cdot \log(f(x)) + (1 - y) \cdot \log(1 - f(x))]
where y represents the true binary label (0 or 1) and f(x) is the predicted probability of the positive class.
For multi-class classification, Categorical Cross-Entropy extends this concept. Additionally, Hinge Loss is particularly useful in binary classification where clear separation between classes is desired:
L(y, f(x)) = \max(0, 1 - y \cdot f(x))
The Huber Loss function provides robustness to outliers by combining quadratic and linear components, switching between them based on a threshold parameter delta (?).
Related Strategy Theorist: Vladimir Vapnik
Vladimir Naumovich Vapnik (born 1935) stands as a foundational figure in the theoretical underpinnings of loss functions and machine learning optimisation. A Soviet and later American computer scientist, Vapnik’s work on Statistical Learning Theory and Support Vector Machines (SVMs) fundamentally shaped how the machine learning community understands loss functions and their role in model generalisation.
Vapnik’s most significant contribution to loss function theory came through his development of Support Vector Machines in the 1990s, where he introduced the concept of the hinge loss function-a loss function specifically designed to maximise the margin between classification boundaries. This represented a paradigm shift in thinking about loss functions: rather than simply minimising prediction error, Vapnik’s approach emphasised confidence and margin, ensuring models were not merely correct but confidently correct by a specified distance.
Born in the Soviet Union, Vapnik studied mathematics at the University of Uzbekistan before joining the Institute of Control Sciences in Moscow, where he conducted groundbreaking research on learning theory. His theoretical framework, Vapnik-Chervonenkis (VC) theory, provided mathematical foundations for understanding how models generalise from training data to unseen examples-a concept intimately connected to loss function design and selection.
Vapnik’s insight that different loss functions encode different assumptions about what constitutes “good” model behaviour proved revolutionary. His work demonstrated that the choice of loss function directly influences not just training efficiency but the model’s ability to generalise. This principle remains central to modern machine learning: data scientists select loss functions strategically to encode domain knowledge and desired model properties, whether robustness to outliers, confidence in predictions, or balanced handling of imbalanced datasets.
Vapnik’s career spanned decades of innovation, including his later work on transductive learning and learning using privileged information. His theoretical contributions earned him numerous accolades and established him as one of the most influential figures in machine learning science. His emphasis on understanding the mathematical foundations of learning-particularly through the lens of loss functions and generalisation bounds-continues to guide contemporary research in deep learning and artificial intelligence.
Practical Significance
The selection of an appropriate loss function significantly impacts model performance and training efficiency. Data scientists carefully consider different loss functions to achieve specific objectives: reducing sensitivity to outliers, better handling noisy data, minimising overfitting, or improving performance on imbalanced datasets. The loss function thus represents not merely a technical component but a strategic choice that encodes domain expertise and learning objectives into the machine learning system itself.
References
1. https://www.datacamp.com/tutorial/loss-function-in-machine-learning
2. https://h2o.ai/wiki/loss-function/
3. https://c3.ai/introduction-what-is-machine-learning/loss-functions/
4. https://www.geeksforgeeks.org/machine-learning/ml-common-loss-functions/
5. https://arxiv.org/html/2504.04242v1
6. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v_ueBW_5dLg
7. https://www.ibm.com/think/topics/loss-function
8. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Loss_function
9. https://www.datarobot.com/blog/introduction-to-loss-functions/

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