Select Page

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

An AI-native strategy firm

Global Advisors: a consulting leader in defining quantified strategy, decreasing uncertainty, improving decisions, achieving measureable results.

Learn MoreGlobal Advisors AI

A Different Kind of Partner in an AI World

AI-native strategy
consulting

Experienced hires

We are hiring experienced top-tier strategy consultants

Quantified Strategy

Decreased uncertainty, improved decisions

Global Advisors is a leader in defining quantified strategies, decreasing uncertainty, improving decisions and achieving measureable results.

We specialise in providing highly-analytical data-driven recommendations in the face of significant uncertainty.

We utilise advanced predictive analytics to build robust strategies and enable our clients to make calculated decisions.

We support implementation of adaptive capability and capacity.

Our latest

Thoughts

Global Advisors’ Thoughts: Outperforming through the downturn AND the cost of ignoring full potential

Global Advisors’ Thoughts: Outperforming through the downturn AND the cost of ignoring full potential

Press drew attention last year to a slew of JSE-listed companies whose share prices had collapsed over the past few years. Some were previous investor darlings. Analysis pointed to a toxic combination of decreasing earnings growth and increased leverage. While this might be a warning to investors of a company in trouble, what fundamentals drive this combination?

In our analysis, company expansion driven by the need to compensate for poor performance in their core business is a typical driver of exactly this outcome.

This article was written in January 2020 but publication was delayed due to the outbreak of Covid-19. Five months after South Africa’s first case, we update our analysis and show that core-based companies outperformed diverse peers by 29% over the period.

Management should always seek to reach full potential in their core business. Attempts to expand should be to a clearly logical set of adjacencies to which they can apply their capabilities using a repeatable business model.

In the article “Steinhoff, Tongaat, Omnia… Here’s the dead giveaway that you should have avoided these companies, says an asset manager,” (Business Insider SA, Jun 11, 2019) Helena Wasserman lists a number of Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) listed shares that have plummeted in recent years.

In many cases these companies’ corresponding sectors have been declining. However, in most of the sectors there is at least one company that has outperformed the rest. What is it about these outperformers that distinguishes them from the rest?

The outperformers have typically shown strong financial performance – be that Growth, ROE, ROA, RONA or Asset Turnover – and varying degrees of leverage. However, performance against these metrics is by no means consistent – see our analysis.

What is consistent is that the outperformers all show clearly delineated core businesses and ongoing growth towards full potential in these businesses alongside growth into clear adjacencies that protect, enhance and leverage the core. In some cases, the core may have been or is currently being redefined, typically through gradual, step-wise extension along logical adjacencies. Redefinition is particularly important in light of the digital transformation seen in many industries. The outperformers are very seldom diversified across unrelated business segments – although isolated examples such as Bidvest clearly exist in other sectors.

Analysis of the over- and underperformers in the sectors highlighted in the article shows that those following a clear core-based strategy have typically outperformed peers through the initial months of the downturn caused by the Covid-19 outbreak.

read more

Strategy Tools

PODCAST: Effective Transfer Pricing

PODCAST: Effective Transfer Pricing

Our Spotify podcast discusses how to get transfer pricing right.

We discuss effective transfer pricing within organizations, highlighting the prevalent challenges and proposing solutions. The core issue is that poorly implemented internal pricing leads to suboptimal economic decisions, resource allocation problems, and interdepartmental conflict. The hosts advocate for market-based pricing over cost recovery, emphasizing the importance of clear price signals for efficient resource allocation and accurate decision-making. They stress the need for service level agreements, fair cost allocation, and a comprehensive process to manage the political and emotional aspects of internal pricing, ultimately aiming for improved organizational performance and profitability. The podcast includes case studies illustrating successful implementations and the authors’ expertise in this field.

Read more from the original article.

read more

Fast Facts

Fast Fact: Great returns aren’t enough

Fast Fact: Great returns aren’t enough

Key insights

It’s not enough to just have great returns – top-line growth is just as critical.

In fact, S&P 500 investors rewarded high-growth companies more than high-ROIC companies over the past decade.

While the distinction was less clear on the JSE, what is clear is that getting a balance of growth and returns is critical.

Strong and consistent ROIC or RONA performers provide investors with a steady flow of discounted cash flows – without growth effectively a fixed-income instrument.

Improvements in ROIC through margin improvements, efficiencies and working-capital optimisation provide point-in-time uplifts to share price.

Top-line growth presents a compounding mechanism – ROIC (and improvements) are compounded each year leading to on-going increases in share price.

However, without acceptable levels of ROIC, the benefits of compounding will be subdued and share price appreciation will be depressed – and when ROIC is below WACC value will be destroyed.

Maintaining high levels of growth is not as sustainable as maintaining high levels of ROIC – while both typically decline as industries mature, growth is usually more affected.

Getting the right balance between ROIC and growth is critical to optimising shareholder value.

read more

Selected News

Quote: Naval Ravikant – Venture Capitalist

Quote: Naval Ravikant – Venture Capitalist

“UI is pre-AI.” – Naval Ravikant – Venture Capitalist

Naval Ravikant stands as one of Silicon Valley’s most influential yet unconventional thinkers—a figure who bridges the gap between pragmatic entrepreneurship and philosophical inquiry. His observation that “UI is pre-AI” reflects a distinctive perspective on technological evolution that warrants careful examination, particularly given his track record as an early-stage investor in transformative technologies.

The Architect of Modern Startup Infrastructure

Ravikant’s influence on the technology landscape extends far beyond individual company investments. As co-founder, chairman, and former CEO of AngelList, he fundamentally altered how early-stage capital flows through the startup ecosystem. AngelList democratised access to venture funding, creating infrastructure that connected aspiring entrepreneurs with angel investors and venture capital firms on an unprecedented scale. This wasn’t merely a business achievement; it represented a structural shift in how innovation gets financed globally.

His investment portfolio reflects prescient timing and discerning judgement. Ravikant invested early in companies including Twitter, Uber, Foursquare, Postmates, Yammer, and Stack Overflow—investments that collectively generated over 70 exits and more than 10 unicorn companies. This track record positions him not as a lucky investor, but as someone with genuine pattern recognition capability regarding which technologies would matter most.

Beyond the Venture Capital Thesis

What distinguishes Ravikant from conventional venture capitalists is his deliberate rejection of the traditional founder mythology. He explicitly advocates against the “hustle mentality” that dominates startup culture, instead promoting a more holistic conception of wealth that encompasses time, freedom, and peace of mind alongside financial returns. This philosophy shapes how he evaluates opportunities and mentors founders—he considers not merely whether a business will scale, but whether it will scale without scaling stress.

His broader intellectual contributions extend through multiple channels. With more than 2.4 million followers on Twitter (X), Ravikant regularly shares aphoristic insights blending practical wisdom with Eastern philosophical traditions. His appearances on influential podcasts, particularly the Tim Ferriss Show and Joe Rogan Experience, have introduced his thinking to audiences far beyond Silicon Valley. Most notably, his “How to Get Rich (without getting lucky)” thread has become foundational reading across technology and business communities, articulating principles around leverage through code, capital, and content.

Understanding “UI is Pre-AI”

The quote “UI is pre-AI” requires interpretation within Ravikant’s broader intellectual framework and the contemporary technological landscape. The statement operates on multiple levels simultaneously.

The Literal Interpretation: User interface design and development necessarily precedes artificial intelligence implementation in most technology products. This reflects a practical observation about product development sequencing—one must typically establish how users interact with systems before embedding intelligent automation into those interactions. In this sense, the UI is the foundational layer upon which AI capabilities are subsequently layered.

The Philosophical Dimension: More provocatively, the statement suggests that how we structure human-computer interaction through interface design fundamentally shapes the possibilities for what artificial intelligence can accomplish. The interface isn’t merely a presentation layer; it represents the primary contact point between human intent and computational capability. Before AI can be genuinely useful, the interface must make that utility legible and accessible to end users.

The Investment Perspective: For Ravikant specifically, this observation carries investment implications. It suggests that companies solving user experience problems will likely remain valuable even as AI capabilities evolve, whereas companies that focus purely on algorithmic sophistication without considering user interaction may find their innovations trapped in laboratory conditions rather than deployed in markets.

The Theoretical Lineage

Ravikant’s observation sits within a longer intellectual tradition examining the relationship between interface, interaction, and technological capability.

Don Norman and Human-Centered Design: The foundational modern work on this subject emerged from Don Norman’s research at the University of California, San Diego, particularly his seminal work on design of everyday things. Norman argued that excellent product design requires intimate understanding of human cognition, perception, and behaviour. Before any technological system—intelligent or otherwise—can create value, it must accommodate human limitations and leverage human strengths through thoughtful interface design.

Douglas Engelbart and Augmentation Philosophy: Douglas Engelbart’s mid-twentieth-century work on human-computer augmentation established that technology’s primary purpose should be extending human capability rather than replacing human judgment. His thinking implied that interfaces represent the crucial bridge between human cognition and computational power. Without well-designed interfaces, the most powerful computational systems remain inert.

Alan Kay and Dynabook Vision: Alan Kay’s vision of personal computing—articulated through concepts like the Dynabook—emphasised that technology’s democratising potential depends entirely on interface accessibility. Kay recognised that computational power matters far less than whether ordinary people can productively engage with that power through intuitive interaction models.

Contemporary HCI Research: Modern human-computer interaction research builds on these foundations, examining how interface design shapes which problems users attempt to solve and how they conceptualise solutions. Researchers like Shneiderman and Plaisant have demonstrated empirically that interface design decisions have second-order effects on what users believe is possible with technology.

The Contemporary Context

Ravikant’s statement carries particular resonance in the current artificial intelligence moment. As organisations rush to integrate large language models and other AI systems into products, many commit what might be called “technology-first” errors—embedding sophisticated algorithms into user experiences that haven’t been thoughtfully designed to accommodate them.

Meaningful user interface design for AI-powered systems requires addressing distinct challenges: How do users understand what an AI system can and cannot do? How is uncertainty communicated? How are edge cases handled? What happens when the AI makes errors? These questions cannot be answered through better algorithms alone; they require interface innovation.

Ravikant’s observation thus functions as a corrective to the current technological moment. It suggests that the companies genuinely transforming industries through artificial intelligence will likely be those that simultaneously innovate in both algorithmic capability and user interface design. The interface becomes pre-AI not merely chronologically but causally—shaping what artificial intelligence can accomplish in practice rather than merely in principle.

Investment Philosophy Integration

This observation aligns with Ravikant’s broader investment thesis emphasising leverage and scalability. An excellent user interface represents exactly this kind of leverage—it scales human attention and human decision-making without requiring proportional increases in effort or resources. Similarly, artificial intelligence scaled through well-designed interfaces amplifies this effect, allowing individual users or organisations to accomplish work that previously required teams.

Ravikant’s focus on investments at seed and Series A stages across media, content, cloud infrastructure, and AI reflects implicit confidence that the foundational layer of how humans interact with technology remains unsettled terrain. Rather than assuming interface design has been solved, he appears to recognise that each new technological capability—whether cloud infrastructure or artificial intelligence—creates new design challenges and opportunities.

The quote ultimately encapsulates a distinctive investment perspective: that attention to human interaction, to aesthetics, to usability, represents not secondary ornamentation but primary technological strategy. In an era of intense focus on algorithmic sophistication, Ravikant reminds us that the interface through which those algorithms engage with human needs and human judgment represents the true frontier of technological value creation.

read more

Polls

Services

Global Advisors is different

We help clients to measurably improve strategic decision-making and the results they achieve through defining clearly prioritised choices, reducing uncertainty, winning hearts and minds and partnering to deliver.

Our difference is embodied in our team. Our values define us.

Corporate portfolio strategy

Define optimal business portfolios aligned with investor expectations

BUSINESS UNIT STRATEGY

Define how to win against competitors

Reach full potential

Understand your business’ core, reach full potential and grow into optimal adjacencies

Deal advisory

M&A, due diligence, deal structuring, balance sheet optimisation

Global Advisors Digital Data Analytics

14 years of quantitative and data science experience

An enabler to delivering quantified strategy and accelerated implementation

Digital enablement, acceleration and data science

Leading-edge data science and digital skills

Experts in large data processing, analytics and data visualisation

Developers of digital proof-of-concepts

An accelerator for Global Advisors and our clients

Join Global Advisors

We hire and grow amazing people

Consultants join our firm based on a fit with our values, culture and vision. They believe in and are excited by our differentiated approach. They realise that working on our clients’ most important projects is a privilege. While the problems we solve are strategic to clients, consultants recognise that solutions primarily require hard work – rigorous and thorough analysis, partnering with client team members to overcome political and emotional obstacles, and a large investment in knowledge development and self-growth.

Get In Touch

16th Floor, The Forum, 2 Maude Street, Sandton, Johannesburg, South Africa
+27114616371

Global Advisors | Quantified Strategy Consulting