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Our latest perspective - What's behind under-performing listed companies?

Outperform through the downturn

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Decreased uncertainty, improved decisions

Global Advisors is a leader in defining quantified strategies, decreasing uncertainty, improving decisions and achieving measureable results.

We specialise in providing highly-analytical data-driven recommendations in the face of significant uncertainty.

We utilise advanced predictive analytics to build robust strategies and enable our clients to make calculated decisions.

We support implementation of adaptive capability and capacity.

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Global Advisors’ Thoughts: Outperforming through the downturn AND the cost of ignoring full potential

Global Advisors’ Thoughts: Outperforming through the downturn AND the cost of ignoring full potential

Press drew attention last year to a slew of JSE-listed companies whose share prices had collapsed over the past few years. Some were previous investor darlings. Analysis pointed to a toxic combination of decreasing earnings growth and increased leverage. While this might be a warning to investors of a company in trouble, what fundamentals drive this combination?

In our analysis, company expansion driven by the need to compensate for poor performance in their core business is a typical driver of exactly this outcome.

This article was written in January 2020 but publication was delayed due to the outbreak of Covid-19. Five months after South Africa’s first case, we update our analysis and show that core-based companies outperformed diverse peers by 29% over the period.

Management should always seek to reach full potential in their core business. Attempts to expand should be to a clearly logical set of adjacencies to which they can apply their capabilities using a repeatable business model.

In the article “Steinhoff, Tongaat, Omnia… Here’s the dead giveaway that you should have avoided these companies, says an asset manager,” (Business Insider SA, Jun 11, 2019) Helena Wasserman lists a number of Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) listed shares that have plummeted in recent years.

In many cases these companies’ corresponding sectors have been declining. However, in most of the sectors there is at least one company that has outperformed the rest. What is it about these outperformers that distinguishes them from the rest?

The outperformers have typically shown strong financial performance – be that Growth, ROE, ROA, RONA or Asset Turnover – and varying degrees of leverage. However, performance against these metrics is by no means consistent – see our analysis.

What is consistent is that the outperformers all show clearly delineated core businesses and ongoing growth towards full potential in these businesses alongside growth into clear adjacencies that protect, enhance and leverage the core. In some cases, the core may have been or is currently being redefined, typically through gradual, step-wise extension along logical adjacencies. Redefinition is particularly important in light of the digital transformation seen in many industries. The outperformers are very seldom diversified across unrelated business segments – although isolated examples such as Bidvest clearly exist in other sectors.

Analysis of the over- and underperformers in the sectors highlighted in the article shows that those following a clear core-based strategy have typically outperformed peers through the initial months of the downturn caused by the Covid-19 outbreak.

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Strategy Tools

PODCAST: Effective Transfer Pricing

PODCAST: Effective Transfer Pricing

Our Spotify podcast discusses how to get transfer pricing right.

We discuss effective transfer pricing within organizations, highlighting the prevalent challenges and proposing solutions. The core issue is that poorly implemented internal pricing leads to suboptimal economic decisions, resource allocation problems, and interdepartmental conflict. The hosts advocate for market-based pricing over cost recovery, emphasizing the importance of clear price signals for efficient resource allocation and accurate decision-making. They stress the need for service level agreements, fair cost allocation, and a comprehensive process to manage the political and emotional aspects of internal pricing, ultimately aiming for improved organizational performance and profitability. The podcast includes case studies illustrating successful implementations and the authors’ expertise in this field.

Read more from the original article.

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Fast Facts

Fast Fact: Great returns aren’t enough

Fast Fact: Great returns aren’t enough

Key insights

It’s not enough to just have great returns – top-line growth is just as critical.

In fact, S&P 500 investors rewarded high-growth companies more than high-ROIC companies over the past decade.

While the distinction was less clear on the JSE, what is clear is that getting a balance of growth and returns is critical.

Strong and consistent ROIC or RONA performers provide investors with a steady flow of discounted cash flows – without growth effectively a fixed-income instrument.

Improvements in ROIC through margin improvements, efficiencies and working-capital optimisation provide point-in-time uplifts to share price.

Top-line growth presents a compounding mechanism – ROIC (and improvements) are compounded each year leading to on-going increases in share price.

However, without acceptable levels of ROIC, the benefits of compounding will be subdued and share price appreciation will be depressed – and when ROIC is below WACC value will be destroyed.

Maintaining high levels of growth is not as sustainable as maintaining high levels of ROIC – while both typically decline as industries mature, growth is usually more affected.

Getting the right balance between ROIC and growth is critical to optimising shareholder value.

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Selected News

Quote: Stephen Schwartzman – Blackstone Founder

Quote: Stephen Schwartzman – Blackstone Founder

“You have to be very gentle around people. If you’re in a leadership position, people hear your words amplified. You have to be very careful what you say and how you say it. You always have to listen to what other people have to say. I genuinely want to know what everybody else thinks.” – Stephen Schwarzman – Blackstone Founder

“You have to be very gentle around people. If you’re in a leadership position, people hear your words amplified. You have to be very careful what you say and how you say it. You always have to listen to what other people have to say. I genuinely want to know what everybody else thinks.” – Stephen Schwarzman – Blackstone Founder

Stephen A. Schwarzman’s quote on gentle, thoughtful leadership encapsulates decades spent at the helm of Blackstone—the world’s largest alternative asset manager—where he forged a distinctive culture and process rooted in careful listening, respectful debate, humility, and operational excellence. The story behind this philosophy is marked by formative setbacks, institutional learning, and the broader evolution of modern leadership theory.

Stephen Schwarzman: Background and Significance

Stephen A. Schwarzman, born in 1947 in Philadelphia, rose to prominence after co-founding Blackstone in 1985 with Pete Peterson. Initially, private markets comprised a tiny fraction of institutional portfolios; under his stewardship, allocations in private assets have grown exponentially, fundamentally reshaping global investing. Schwarzman is renowned for his relentless pursuit of operational improvement, risk discipline, and market timing—his mantra, “Don’t lose money,” is enforced by multi-layered approval and rigorous debate.

Schwarzman’s experience as a leader is deeply shaped by early missteps. The Edgecomb Steel investment loss was pivotal: it catalyzed Blackstone’s institutionalized investment committees, de-risking debates, and a culture where anyone may challenge ideas so long as discussion remains fact-based and impersonal. This setback taught him accountability, humility, and the value of systemic learning—his response was not to retreat from risk, but to build a repeatable, challenge-driven process. Crucially, he narrates his own growth from a self-described “C or D executive” to a leader who values gentleness, clarity, humor, and private critique—understanding that words uttered from the top echo powerfully and can shape (or harm) culture.

Beyond technical accomplishments, Schwarzman’s legacy is one of building enduring institutions through codified values: integrity, decency, and hard work. His leadership maxim—“be gentle, clear, and high standard; always listen”—is a template for strong cultures, high performance, and sustainable growth.

The Context of the Quote

The quoted passage emerges from Schwarzman’s reflections on leadership lessons acquired over four decades. Known for candid self-assessment, he openly admits to early struggles with management style but evolved to prioritize humility, care, and active listening. At Blackstone, this meant never criticizing staff in public and always seeking divergent views to inform decisions. He emphasizes that a leader’s words carry amplified weight among teams and stakeholders; thus, intentional communication and genuine listening are essential for nurturing an environment of trust, engagement, and intelligent risk-taking.

This context is inseparable from Blackstone’s broader organizational playbook: institutionalized judgment, structured challenge, and brand-centered culture—all designed to accumulate wisdom, avoid repeating mistakes, and compound long-term value. Schwarzman’s leadership pathway is a case study in the power of personal evolution, open dialogue, and codified norms that outlast the founder himself.

Leading Theorists and Historical Foundations

Schwarzman’s leadership philosophy is broadly aligned with a lineage of thinkers who have shaped modern approaches to management, organizational behavior, and culture:

  • Peter Drucker: Often called the “father of modern management,” Drucker stressed that leadership is defined by results and relationships, not positional power. His work emphasized listening, empowering employees, and the ethical responsibility of those at the top.

  • Warren Bennis: Bennis advanced concepts of authentic leadership, self-awareness, and transparency. He argued that leaders should be vulnerable, model humility, and act as facilitators of collective intelligence rather than commanders.

  • Jim Collins: In “Good to Great,” Collins describes “Level 5 Leaders” as those who combine professional will with personal humility. Collins underscores that amplifying diverse viewpoints and creating cultures of disciplined debate lead to enduring success.

  • Edgar Schein: Schein’s studies of organizational culture reveal that leaders not only set behavioral norms through their actions and words but also shape “cultural DNA” by embedding values of learning, dialogue, and respect.

  • Amy Edmondson: Her pioneering work in psychological safety demonstrates that gentle leadership—rooted in listening and respect—fosters environments where people can challenge ideas, raise concerns, and innovate without fear.

Each of these theorists contributed to the understanding that gentle, attentive leadership is not weakness, but a source of institutional strength, resilience, and competitive advantage. Their concepts mirror the systems at Blackstone: open challenge, private correction, and leadership by example.

Schwarzman’s Distinction and Industry Impact

Schwarzman’s practice stands out in several ways. He institutionalized lessons from mistakes to create robust decision processes and a genuine challenge culture. His insistence on brand-building as strategy—where every decision, hire, and visual artifact reinforces trust—reflects an awareness of the symbolic weight of leadership. Under his guidance, Blackstone’s transformation from a two-person startup into a global giant offers a living illustration of how values, process, and leadership style drive superior, sustainable outcomes.

In summary, the quoted insight is not platitude, but hard-won experience from a legendary founder whose methods echo the best modern thinking on leadership, learning, and organizational resilience. The theorists tracing this journey—from Drucker to Edmondson—affirm that the path to “enduring greatness” lies in gentle authority, careful listening, institutionalized memory, and the humility to learn from every setback.

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