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Global Advisors: a consulting leader in defining quantified strategy, decreasing uncertainty, improving decisions, achieving measureable results.

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Decreased uncertainty, improved decisions

Global Advisors is a leader in defining quantified strategies, decreasing uncertainty, improving decisions and achieving measureable results.

We specialise in providing highly-analytical data-driven recommendations in the face of significant uncertainty.

We utilise advanced predictive analytics to build robust strategies and enable our clients to make calculated decisions.

We support implementation of adaptive capability and capacity.

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Thoughts

Podcast – The Real AI Signal from Davos 2026

Podcast – The Real AI Signal from Davos 2026

While the headlines from Davos were dominated by geopolitical conflict and debates on AGI timelines and asset bubbles, a different signal emerged from the noise. It wasn’t about if AI works, but how it is being ruthlessly integrated into the real economy.

In our latest podcast, we break down the “Diffusion Strategy” defining 2026.

3 Key Takeaways:

  1. China and the “Global South” are trying to leapfrog: While the West debates regulation, emerging economies are treating AI as essential infrastructure.
    • China has set a goal for 70% AI diffusion by 2027.
    • The UAE has mandated AI literacy in public schools from K-12.
    • Rwanda is using AI to quadruple its healthcare workforce.
  2. The Rise of the “Agentic Self”: We aren’t just using chatbots anymore; we are employing agents. Entrepreneur Steven Bartlett revealed he has established a “Head of Experimentation and Failure” to use AI to disrupt his own business before competitors do. Musician will.i.am argued that in an age of predictive machines, humans must cultivate their “agentic self” to handle the predictable, while remaining unpredictable themselves.
  3. Rewiring the Core: Uber’s CEO Dara Khosrowshahi noted the difference between an “AI veneer” and a fundamental rewire. It’s no longer about summarising meetings; it’s about autonomous agents resolving customer issues without scripts.

The Global Advisors Perspective: Don’t wait for AGI. The current generation of models is sufficient to drive massive value today. The winners will be those who control their “sovereign capabilities” – embedding their tacit knowledge into models they own.

Read our original perspective here – https://with.ga/w1bd5

Listen to the full breakdown here – https://with.ga/2vg0z
While the headlines from Davos were dominated by geopolitical conflict and debates on AGI timelines and asset bubbles, a different signal emerged from the noise. It wasn't about if AI works, but how it is being ruthlessly integrated into the real economy.

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Strategy Tools

Fast Facts

Fast Fact: Great returns aren’t enough

Fast Fact: Great returns aren’t enough

Key insights

It’s not enough to just have great returns – top-line growth is just as critical.

In fact, S&P 500 investors rewarded high-growth companies more than high-ROIC companies over the past decade.

While the distinction was less clear on the JSE, what is clear is that getting a balance of growth and returns is critical.

Strong and consistent ROIC or RONA performers provide investors with a steady flow of discounted cash flows – without growth effectively a fixed-income instrument.

Improvements in ROIC through margin improvements, efficiencies and working-capital optimisation provide point-in-time uplifts to share price.

Top-line growth presents a compounding mechanism – ROIC (and improvements) are compounded each year leading to on-going increases in share price.

However, without acceptable levels of ROIC, the benefits of compounding will be subdued and share price appreciation will be depressed – and when ROIC is below WACC value will be destroyed.

Maintaining high levels of growth is not as sustainable as maintaining high levels of ROIC – while both typically decline as industries mature, growth is usually more affected.

Getting the right balance between ROIC and growth is critical to optimising shareholder value.

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Selected News

Quote: Jeremy Barnum – Executive VP and CFO of JP Morgan Chase

Quote: Jeremy Barnum – Executive VP and CFO of JP Morgan Chase

“We’re growing. We’re onboarding new clients. In many cases, I’m looking at some of my colleagues on the corporate and investment bank, the growth in new clients comes with lending. That lending is relatively low returning then you eventually get other business. So yes, that’s an example of an investment today that as it matures, has higher returns.” – Jeremy Barnum – Executive VP & CFO of JP Morgan Chase

Jeremy Barnum, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of JPMorgan Chase, shared this perspective during a strategic framework and firm overview executive Q&A on 24 February 2026. His remarks underscore a core tenet of modern banking: initial client acquisition often demands upfront investments in low-margin activities like lending, which pave the way for higher-return opportunities as relationships mature.[SOURCE]

Barnum’s career trajectory exemplifies the blend of analytical rigour and strategic foresight essential for leading one of the world’s largest financial institutions. Joining JPMorgan Chase in 2007 as a managing director in treasury and risk management, he ascended rapidly through roles in investor relations and corporate development. By 2021, he was appointed CFO, succeeding Jennifer Piepszak, who transitioned to co-CEO of the commercial and investment bank. Under Barnum’s stewardship, JPMorgan has navigated volatile markets, including the acquisition of Goldman Sachs’ Apple Card portfolio, which contributed to a $2.2 billion pre-tax credit reserve build in Q4 2025, even as net income reached $13 billion and revenue climbed 7% to $46.8 billion.1

In the broader context of this quote, Barnum was addressing investor concerns about growth dynamics in the corporate and investment banking (CIB) division. New client onboarding frequently begins with lending – a relatively low-return activity due to compressed margins and credit risks – but evolves into a fuller ecosystem of services, including advisory, trading, and capital markets activities that deliver superior profitability over time. This ‘investment today for returns tomorrow’ model aligns with JPMorgan’s 2026 expense projections of $105 billion, driven by ‘structural optimism’ and the imperative to invest in technology, AI, and competitive positioning against fintech challengers like Revolut and SoFi, as well as traditional rivals like Charles Schwab.1

The discussion occurred against a backdrop of heightened competitive and regulatory pressures. Just weeks earlier, in January 2026, Barnum warned of the perils of President Donald Trump’s proposed 10% cap on credit card interest rates, arguing it would curtail credit access for higher-risk borrowers – ‘the people who need it the most’ – and force lenders to scale back operations in a fiercely competitive landscape.2,3 Consumer and community banking revenue rose 6% year-over-year to $19.4 billion, bolstered by 7% growth in card services, yet such policies threaten this momentum. JPMorgan’s tech budget is set to surge by $2 billion to $19.8 billion in 2026, emphasising investments to maintain primacy.5

Leading theorists on relationship banking and client lifecycle management provide intellectual foundations for Barnum’s approach. Jay R. Ritter, a pioneer in IPO and capital-raising research at the University of Florida, has long documented how initial public offerings often underperform short-term but enable firms to access deeper capital markets over time – a parallel to banking’s lending-to-ecosystem progression. Similarly, Arnoud W.A. Boot, a professor at the University of Amsterdam and ECB Shadow Monetary Policy Committee member, theorises in works like ‘Relationship Banking and the Death of the Middleman’ (2000) that banks derive sustained value from ‘household-specific’ information built through ongoing relationships, transforming low-margin entry points into high-return sticky business.

Robert M. Townsend, Caltech economist and Nobel laureate (2011, with Finn Kydland), extends this through his incomplete contracting models, showing how banks mitigate asymmetric information via repeated interactions, justifying upfront lending as a commitment device for future profitability. More contemporarily, Viral V. Acharya of NYU Stern emphasises in IMF and BIS papers the ‘credit ecosystem’ where initial low-yield loans signal credibility, unlocking cross-selling in a post-2008 regulatory environment marked by Basel III capital constraints. These frameworks validate JPMorgan’s strategy: lending as the ‘hook’ in a maturing client portfolio amid rising competition and policy risks.

Barnum’s comments, delivered mere hours before this analysis (on 25 February 2026), reflect real-time strategic clarity. As JPMorgan projects resilience in consumer and small business segments, this philosophy positions the firm to convert today’s investments into enduring leadership.1,4

References

1. https://fortune.com/2026/01/14/jpmorgan-ceo-cfo-staying-competitive-requires-investment/

2. https://www.businessinsider.com/jpmorgan-warning-on-credit-card-cap-interest-2026-1

3. https://neworleanscitybusiness.com/blog/2026/01/13/jpmorgan-credit-card-rate-cap-warning/

4. https://www.marketscreener.com/news/jpmorgan-cfo-jeremy-barnum-speaks-at-investor-update-ce7e5dd3db8ff425

5. https://www.aol.com/news/jpmorgan-spend-almost-20-billion-000403027.html

"We're growing. We're onboarding new clients. In many cases, I'm looking at some of my colleagues on the corporate and investment bank, the growth in new clients comes with lending. That lending is relatively low returning then you eventually get other business. So yes, that's an example of an investment today that as it matures, has higher returns." - Quote: Jeremy Barnum - Executive VP & CFO of JP Morgan Chase

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