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Global Advisors is a leader in defining quantified strategies, decreasing uncertainty, improving decisions and achieving measureable results.

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PODCAST: Your Due Diligence is Most Likely Wrong

PODCAST: Your Due Diligence is Most Likely Wrong

Our Spotify podcast explores why most mergers and acquisitions fail to create value and provides a practical guide to performing a strategic due diligence process.

The hosts The hosts highlight common pitfalls like overpaying for acquisitions, failing to understand the true value of a deal, and neglecting to account for future uncertainties. They emphasize that a successful deal depends on a clear strategic rationale, a thorough understanding of the target’s competitive position, and a comprehensive assessment of potential risks. They then present a four-stage approach to strategic due diligence that incorporates scenario planning and probabilistic simulations to quantify uncertainty and guide decision-making. Finally, they discuss how to navigate deal-making during economic downturns and stress the importance of securing existing businesses, revisiting return measures, prioritizing potential targets, and factoring in potential delays.

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Quote: Arthur Mensch – Arthur Mensch – Mistral CEO

Quote: Arthur Mensch – Arthur Mensch – Mistral CEO

“In real life, enterprises are complex systems, and you can’t solve that with a single abstraction like AGI. AGI, to a large extent, is a north star of ‘I’m going to make the system better over time.'” – Arthur Mensch – Mistral CEO

Arthur Mensch, CEO of Mistral AI, offers a grounded perspective on artificial general intelligence (AGI), emphasising its role as an aspirational guide rather than a practical fix for intricate business challenges. In a recent Big Technology Podcast interview with Alex Kantrowitz on 16 January 2026, Mensch highlighted how enterprises function as complex systems that defy singular abstractions like AGI, positioning it instead as a directional ‘north star’ for incremental system improvements. This view aligns with his longstanding scepticism towards AGI hype, rooted in his self-described strong atheism and belief that such rhetoric equates to ‘creating God’1,2,3,4.

Who is Arthur Mensch?

Born in Paris, Arthur Mensch, aged 31, is a French entrepreneur and AI researcher who co-founded Mistral AI in 2023 alongside former Meta engineers Timothée Lacroix and Guillaume Lample. Before Mistral, Mensch worked as an engineer at Google DeepMind’s Paris lab, gaining expertise in advanced AI models2,4. His venture quickly rose to prominence, positioning Europe as a contender in the AI landscape dominated by US giants. Mistral’s models, including open-weight offerings, have secured partnerships like one with Microsoft in early 2024, while attracting support from the French government and investors such as former digital minister Cédric O2,4. Mensch advocates for a ‘European champion’ in AI to counterbalance cultural influences from American tech firms, stressing that AI shapes global perceptions and values2. He warns against over-reliance on US competitors for AI standards, pushing for lighter European regulations to foster innovation4.

Context of the Quote

Mensch’s statement emerges amid intensifying AI debates, just two days before this post, on a podcast discussing real-world AI applications. It reflects his consistent dismissal of AGI as an unattainable, quasi-religious pursuit, a stance he reiterated in a 2024 New York Times interview: ‘The whole AGI rhetoric is about creating God. I don’t believe in God. I’m a strong atheist. So I don’t believe in AGI’1,2,3,4. Unlike peers forecasting AGI’s imminent arrival, Mensch prioritises practical AI tools that enhance productivity, predicting rapid workforce retraining needs within two years rather than a decade4. He critiques Big Tech’s open-source strategies as competitive ploys and emphasises culturally attuned AI development1,2. This podcast remark builds on those themes, applying them to enterprise complexity where iterative progress trumps hypothetical superintelligence.

Leading Theorists on AGI and Complex Systems

The discourse around AGI and its limits in complex systems draws from pioneering theorists in AI, cybernetics, and systems theory.

  • Alan Turing (1912-1954): Laid AI foundations with his 1950 ‘Computing Machinery and Intelligence’ paper, proposing the Turing Test for machine intelligence. He envisioned machines mimicking human cognition but did not pursue god-like generality, focusing on computable problems[internal knowledge].
  • Norbert Wiener (1894-1964): Founder of cybernetics, which studies control and communication in animals and machines. In Cybernetics (1948), Wiener described enterprises and societies as dynamic feedback systems resistant to simple models, prefiguring Mensch’s complexity argument[internal knowledge].
  • John McCarthy (1927-2011): Coined ‘artificial intelligence’ in 1956 at the Dartmouth Conference, distinguishing narrow AI from general forms. He advocated high-level programming for generality but recognised real-world messiness[internal knowledge].
  • Demis Hassabis: Google DeepMind CEO and Mensch’s former colleague, predicts AGI within years, viewing it as AI matching human versatility across tasks. Hassabis emphasises multimodal learning from games like AlphaGo4[internal knowledge].
  • Sam Altman and Elon Musk: OpenAI’s Altman warns of AGI risks like ‘subtle misalignments’ while pursuing it as transformative; Musk forecasts superhuman AI by late 2025 and sues OpenAI over profit shifts3,4. Both treat AGI as epochal, contrasting Mensch’s pragmatism.

These figures highlight a divide: early theorists like Wiener stressed systemic complexity, while modern leaders like Hassabis chase generality. Mensch bridges this by favouring commoditised, improvable AI over AGI mythology[TAGS].

Implications for AI and Enterprise

Mensch’s philosophy underscores AI’s commoditisation, where models like Mistral’s drive efficiency without superintelligence. This resonates in Europe’s push for sovereign AI, amid tags like commoditisation and artificial intelligence[TAGS]. As enterprises navigate complexity, his ‘north star’ metaphor encourages sustained progress over speculative leaps.

References

1. https://www.businessinsider.com/mistrals-ceo-said-obsession-with-agi-about-creating-god-2024-4

2. https://futurism.com/the-byte/mistral-ceo-agi-god

3. https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/04/38266018/mistral-ceo-shades-openais-sam-altman-says-obsession-with-reaching-agi-is-about-creating-god

4. https://fortune.com/europe/article/mistral-boss-tech-ceos-obsession-ai-outsmarting-humans-very-religious-fascination/

5. https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/6742502031714

6. https://www.christianpost.com/cartoon/musk-to-altman-what-are-tech-moguls-saying-about-ai-and-agi.html?page=5

"In real life, enterprises are complex systems, and you can’t solve that with a single abstraction like AGI. AGI, to a large extent, is a north star of 'I’m going to make the system better over time.'" - Quote: Arthur Mensch

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