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Global Advisors is a leader in defining quantified strategies, decreasing uncertainty, improving decisions and achieving measureable results.

We specialise in providing highly-analytical data-driven recommendations in the face of significant uncertainty.

We utilise advanced predictive analytics to build robust strategies and enable our clients to make calculated decisions.

We support implementation of adaptive capability and capacity.

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Thoughts

Global Advisors’ Thoughts: Leading a deliberate life

Global Advisors’ Thoughts: Leading a deliberate life

By Marc Wilson
Marc is a partner at Global Advisors and based in Johannesburg, South Africa

Download this article at https://globaladvisors.biz/blog/2018/06/26/leading-a-deliberate-life/.

Picket fences. Family of four. Management position.

Mid-life crisis. Meaning. Purpose.

Someone once said that, “At 18, I had all the answers. At 35, I realised I didn’t know the question.”

Serendipity has a lot going for it. Many people might sail through life taking what comes and enjoying the moment. Others might be open to chance and have nothing go right for them.

Some people might strive to achieve, realise rare successes and be bitterly unhappy. Others might be driven and enjoy incredible success and fulfilment.

Perhaps the majority of us become beholden to the momentum of our lives.

We might study, start a career, marry, buy a dream house, have children, send them to a top school. Those steps make up components of many of our dreams. They are steps that may define each subsequent choice. As I discussed this with a friend recently, he remarked that few of these steps had been subject of deliberations in his life – increasingly these steps were the outcome of momentum. Each will shape every step he takes for the rest of his life. He would not have things any other way, but if he knew what he knows now, he might have been more deliberate about choice and consequence…..

Read more at https://globaladvisors.biz/blog/2018/06/26/leading-a-deliberate-life/

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Strategy Tools

PODCAST: Your Due Diligence is Most Likely Wrong

PODCAST: Your Due Diligence is Most Likely Wrong

Our Spotify podcast explores why most mergers and acquisitions fail to create value and provides a practical guide to performing a strategic due diligence process.

The hosts The hosts highlight common pitfalls like overpaying for acquisitions, failing to understand the true value of a deal, and neglecting to account for future uncertainties. They emphasize that a successful deal depends on a clear strategic rationale, a thorough understanding of the target’s competitive position, and a comprehensive assessment of potential risks. They then present a four-stage approach to strategic due diligence that incorporates scenario planning and probabilistic simulations to quantify uncertainty and guide decision-making. Finally, they discuss how to navigate deal-making during economic downturns and stress the importance of securing existing businesses, revisiting return measures, prioritizing potential targets, and factoring in potential delays.

Read more from the original article.

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Fast Facts

Fast fact: A quick change in Covid-19 plots shows when countries turn the tide

Fast fact: A quick change in Covid-19 plots shows when countries turn the tide

Aatish Bhatia – in collaboration with Minute Physics – did an amazing job of visualizing the Covid 19 data. His logarithmaic juxtaposition of total versus new cases shows when the virus growth begins to slow.

  1. Logarithmic plotting of new vs total cases shows when infection rates (as measured) slow
  2. When plotted in this way, exponential growth is represented as a straight line that slopes upwards
  3. The x-axis of this graph is not time, but is instead the total number of cases or deaths
  4. Notice that almost all countries follow a very similar path of exponential growth

You can choose the numbers to plot at Covid trends

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Selected News

Term: Strategy

Term: Strategy

“Strategy is the art of radical selection, where you identify the “vital few” forces – the 20% of activities, products, or customers that generate 80% of your value – and anchor them in a unique and valuable position that is difficult for rivals to imitate.” – Strategy

Strategy is the art of radical selection, entailing the identification and prioritisation of the “vital few” forces—typically the 20% of activities, products, or customers that deliver 80% of value—and embedding them within a unique, valuable position that rivals struggle to replicate.

This definition draws on the Pareto principle (or 80/20 rule), which posits that a minority of inputs generates the majority of outputs, applied strategically to focus resources for competitive advantage. Radical selection demands ruthless prioritisation, rejecting marginal efforts to create imitable barriers such as proprietary processes, network effects, or brand loyalty. In practice, it involves auditing operations to isolate high-impact elements, then aligning the organisation around them—eschewing diversification for concentrated excellence. For instance, firms might discontinue underperforming product lines or customer segments to double down on core strengths, fostering sustainable differentiation amid competition.3,5

Key Elements of Radical Selection

  • Identification of the “Vital Few”: Analyse data to pinpoint the 20% driving 80% of revenue, profit, or growth; this echoes exploration in radical innovation, targeting novel opportunities over incremental gains.3
  • Anchoring in a Unique Position: Secure these forces in a defensible niche, leveraging creativity and risk acceptance inherent to strategic art, where choices fuse power with imagination to outmanoeuvre rivals.5
  • Difficulty to Imitate: Build moats through repetition with deviation—reconfiguring conventions internally to resist replication, akin to disidentification strategies that transform from within.1

Best Related Strategy Theorist: Richard Koch

Richard Koch, a pre-eminent proponent of the 80/20 principle in strategy, provides the foundational intellectual backbone for this concept of radical selection. His seminal work, The 80/20 Principle: The Secret to Achieving More with Less (1997, updated editions since), explicitly frames strategy as exploiting the “vital few”—the disproportionate 20% of factors yielding 80% of results—to achieve outsized success.

Biography and Backstory

Born in 1950 in London, Koch graduated from Oxford University with a degree in Philosophy, Politics, and Economics, later earning an MBA from Harvard Business School. He began his career at Bain & Company (1978–1980), rising swiftly in management consulting, then co-founded L.E.K. Consulting in 1983, where he specialised in corporate strategy and turnarounds. Koch advised blue-chip firms on radical pruning—divesting non-core assets to focus on high-yield segments—drawing early insights into Pareto imbalances from client data showing most profits stemmed from few products or customers.

In the 1990s, as an independent investor and author, Koch applied these lessons to his own ventures, achieving billionaire status through stakes in firms like Filofax (which he revitalised via 80/20 focus) and Betfair (early investor). His 80/20 philosophy evolved from Vilfredo Pareto’s 1896 observation of wealth distribution (80% owned by 20%) and Joseph Juran’s quality management adaptations, but Koch radicalised it for strategy. He argued that businesses thrive by systematically ignoring the trivial many, selecting “star” activities for exponential growth—a direct precursor to the query’s definition.

Koch’s relationship to radical selection is intimate: he popularised it as a strategic art form, blending empirical analysis with bold choice. In Living the 80/20 Way (2004) and The 80/20 Manager (2007), he extends it to personal and corporate realms, warning against “spread-thin” mediocrity. Critics note its simplicity risks oversimplification, yet its prescience aligns with modern lean strategies; Koch remains active, mentoring via Koch Education.3,5

References

1. https://direct.mit.edu/artm/article/10/3/8/109489/What-is-Radical

2. https://dariollinares.substack.com/p/the-art-of-radical-thinking?selection=863e7a98-7166-4689-9e3c-6434f064c055

3. https://www.timreview.ca/article/1425

4. https://selvajournal.org/article/ideology-strategy-aesthetics/

5. https://theforge.defence.gov.au/sites/default/files/2024-11/On%20Strategic%20Art%20-%20A%20Guide%20to%20Strategic%20Thinking%20and%20the%20ASFF%20(Electronic%20Version%201-1).pdf

6. https://ellengallery.concordia.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/leonard-Bina-Ellen-Art-Gallery-MUNOZ-Radical-Form.pdf

7. https://art21.org/read/radical-art-in-a-conservative-school/

8. https://parsejournal.com/article/radical-softness/

"Strategy is the art of radical selection, where you identify the "vital few" forces—the 20% of activities, products, or customers that generate 80% of your value—and anchor them in a unique and valuable position that is difficult for rivals to imitate." - Term: Strategy

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